Wmsptwx

6 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

I'd love for that to verify for you guys who live south of I-80, but places like UNV and definitely AOO are living on the edge with the warm layer aloft for a time. Models are showing a real pounding for a good few hours on the front end which can hopefully keep the heavy sleet to maybe Rt 22 and south, but if the warmer models are right, it would cut back quite a bit up to I-80 and even up to IPT. I could see the 14-15" being predicted for State College if the heavy snow comes in fast like a wall and the warmth can be held at bay, but I can also see it being 7-9" of quicksand from a surging warm layer. I'm really not seeing how Harrisburg gets 8". Hopefully I'm wrong and it's an overproducer, but I've gotten burned a few times on these storms when I lived in State College in the mid-late 2000s. 

Why even make that call then, they should know climo better than anyone.

Currently sitting at 30.7 here 21 DP

Lol wouldn't be a storm without Jm telling State College they're doomed.

Yeah I'm in the 10-16 zone.

2 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

 

Just now, Itstrainingtime said:

Anyone else want to lay some chips out there? Final call: (same as I've been saying for 3 days) 

Lanco/York: 1"-3"

Harrisburg metro area: 2"-4" (Carlisle officially 3.3"  )

Ridge and Valley: 4"-8"

Williamsport/MAG land: 6" - 10"

Nut's Cabin: 10" - 15"

 

Solid call, I'm sticking with my original.

It looks like 1.4 to 1.6 over good part of state?

What the hell here goes:

LNS 2 to 5...to ice

MDT 4 to 6 to ice

IPT: 6 to 9 to sleet

UNV: 7 to 11 to sleet

AOO: 7 to 10 to sleet

BFD: 12 to 16 all snow

I truly feel for Mets on this one, huge bust potential all over PA.....fun to follow though for same reasons.

Horst will either look very good or very bad with this call...no real middle ground with this storm.

3 minutes ago, anotherman said:

Everyone busted in November.

It can happen again too. Local news surprisingly nailed November storm out this way.

Horst busted in November if I remember right?

One thing is for sure about this storm...it is loaded with moisture and juiced.

4 minutes ago, skiier04 said:

Definitely remember that one more than a few times 

I've laid back on going crazy model watching too after getting burned so many times... but this one sure is looking promising.

You and I had a few meltdowns together brother ...I agree more fun to just take it as it comes. I had meltdown..you were just sad haha. 

I used to model watch like a mofo......now I'm more go out and enjoy what you get and have some grey goose on rocks.

Mag not to be mby guy but you think we see sig icing?

Very strange storm, the Mets are earning pay on this guy.

3 to 6 mod

6 to 10 sig

10 to 16 mecs

16+ Historic

24+ bib

22 minutes ago, bubbler86 said:

I think you would both be 8-12" just using the GFS verbatim.  I do feel remorse when enthusiastically posting something which might not be good for others.    I sometimes forget this is not an LSV forum.  The GFS change is astounding whether it is stay worthy or not.  I could not fathom it moving this far from its afternoon run into Erie. 

Lol, dude you're fine it's a weather board...you are supposed to root for that! Very interesting storm to track for sure.

Tbh you guys like it much more than most and only like 3 of us live outside of scpa so I'm okay with it...maybe not 2001kx though.

Watch it turn into a strung out mess lol... weather always keeps us guessing it's why we love it.

I'm just focusing on the clipper since it's at least going to whiten things up, Southern NY might be place to be for weekend deal, but still time.

Clipper looking more 1 to 2 ish with 3 jackpots on latest runs.

Nah, I like you guys and want you to get snow..I like it, you guys are crazy for it. I'll accept roasting for teams, haha I do at work daily.

1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Yeah...I like me some Westbrook. I usually go to Philly each year when they're in town to watch him play. 

Back to the weather now. 

Niiicee same here, and in DC too.

1 minute ago, pasnownut said:

fixed

Lol what has OKC done to you!?