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About I85Greenville

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    Mauldin, SC
  1. Supposedly GSP goes over to snow between 48-51. FWIW: Sent from my Nexus 6P using Tapatalk
  2. Via Brad P, this shows the (small) changes in GFS tracks: Sent from my Nexus 6P using Tapatalk
  3. Yeah, he did the, "And that's FOUR runs in a row showing measurable wintry precip on the EURO." for each model run. I was looking over that thread last night, fantasizing. Maybe he can start that again soon.
  4. Maybe it's just me, but I wouldn't want to be in the "jackpot"/for things to look "perfect" right now (as in, 4-5 days out). Of course that doesn't mean it trends colder (seems like there's not many ways it could), but stranger things have happened.
  5. 18 here, and windy! I suspect we go below the forecast of 13, which GSP just hinted at in their updated disco.
  6. Have you ever considered being a motivational speaker? I really think you'd bring something new to the table.
  7. Fair point well made... Does anybody know when the "old" GFS goes away and the "para" becomes standard? I assume that's what they're referring to in the release.
  8. The title and link say it all: http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2015/20150105_supercomputer.html?utm_content=buffer1a56f&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer (Pasted content, from NOAA) Today, NOAA announced the next phase in the agency’s efforts to increase supercomputing capacity to provide more timely, accurate, reliable, and detailed forecasts. By October 2015, the capacity of each of NOAA’s two operational supercomputers will jump to 2.5 petaflops, for a total of 5 petaflops – a nearly tenfold increase from the current capacity. “NOAA is America’s environmental intelligence agency; we provide the information, data, and services communities need to become resilient to significant and severe weather, water, and climate events,” said Kathryn Sullivan, Ph.D., NOAA’s Administrator. “These supercomputing upgrades will significantly improve our ability to translate data into actionable information, which in turn will lead to more timely, accurate, and reliable forecasts.” Ahead of this upgrade, each of the two operational supercomputers will first more than triple their current capacity later this month (to at least 0.776 petaflops for a total capacity of 1.552 petaflops). With this larger capacity, NOAA’s National Weather Servicein January will begin running an upgraded version of the Global Forecast System (GFS) with greater resolution that extends further out in time – the new GFS will increase resolution from 27km to 13km out to 10 days and 55km to 33km for 11 to 16 days. In addition, the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) will be upgraded by increasing the number of vertical levels from 42 to 64 and increasing the horizontal resolution from 55km to 27km out to eight days and 70km to 33km from days nine to 16. Computing capacity upgrades scheduled for this month and later this year are part of ongoing computing and modeling upgrades that began in July 2013. NOAA’s National Weather Service has upgraded existing models – such as the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting model, which did exceptionally well this hurricane season, including for Hurricane Arthur which struck North Carolina. And NOAA’s National Weather Service has operationalized the widely acclaimed High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model, which delivers 15-hour numerical forecasts every hour of the day. “We continue to make significant, critical investments in our supercomputers and observational platforms,” saidLouis Uccellini, Ph.D., director, NOAA’s National Weather Service. “By increasing our overall capacity, we’ll be able to process quadrillions of calculations per second that all feed into our forecasts and predictions. This boost in processing power is essential as we work to improve our numerical prediction models for more accurate and consistent forecasts required to build a Weather Ready Nation.” The increase in supercomputing capacity comes via a $44.5 million investment using NOAA's operational high performance computing contract with IBM, $25 million of which was provided through the Disaster Relief Appropriations Act of 2013 related to the consequences of Hurricane Sandy. Cray Inc., headquartered in Seattle, plans to serve as a subcontractor for IBM to provide the new systems to NOAA. “We are excited to provide NOAA’s National Weather Service with advanced supercomputing capabilities for running operational weather forecasts with greater detail and precision,” said Peter Ungaro, president and CEO of Cray. “This investment to increase their supercomputing capacity will allow the National Weather Service to both augment current capabilities and run more advanced models. We are honored these forecasts will be prepared using Cray supercomputers.” "As a valued provider to NOAA since 2000, IBM is proud to continue helping NOAA achieve its vital mission," said Anne Altman, General Manager, IBM Federal. "These capabilities enable NOAA experts and researchers to make forecasts that help inform and protect citizens. We are pleased to partner in NOAA's ongoing transformation." NOAA's mission is to understand and predict changes in the Earth's environment, from the depths of the ocean to the surface of the sun, and to conserve and manage our coastal and marine resources. Join us on Twitter, Facebook, Instagram and our other social media channels. Visit our news release archive.
  9. Pretty awesome pic of a huge super cell near the border of NC and SC back in May, taken by an ER-2 aircraft at about 65k feet. http://www.livescience.com/47533-supercell-thunderstorms-over-carolinas.html
  10. Amazing shots from above the severe storms in SC yesterday that rocked my socks: From NWS: