HighTechEE

This is scary as not only its the 50th year since Xenia, but this coming Memorial Weekend will be the 5th aniversay of the terrible tornadoes that tore up the Dayton area again! This year with 2 waves of serious tornado out breaks before April in Ohio is NUTS!

Topped out at 3.5" IMBY, with all of the ILN upped totals calling for 4-6" was yet another bust for me (original forecast of 2-4" was right on).  My season total is now 7.5" which means I'm still in the running for the least snowiest winter since I moved to the Dayton area in '86, the actual least amount was 8" three times with a couple in the late 90s and one in the early 2000s. 

In the past 15 minutes the snow went heavy (close to 1"/hour rate looks like) and everything is white including all roads, visibility 1/4 mile tops IMBY.

ILN just went with a Winter Storm Warning now, but didn't adjust any snow totals, about 1" now IMBY.

Light snow here for the past hour, radar looks promising with thunder snow in S. Illinois!  ILN just upped our totals again area wide to 4 to 6" now!

Edit: At 5:15 picked up a half inch so far on elevated surfaces.

ILN just updated their forecast and upped the I-70 corridor to 3 to 5", radar show virga over SW Greene county and I swear I heard thunder about 10mins ago?  

Sweet GFS 12z has a foot of snow for the Dayton area Monday night into Tuesday morning! Also piles another 8 inches over the next two weeks! You know you can lock that in for S. Ohio 

Was in Hocking Hills this weekend for the Old Man's Cave Annual Winter Hike, and for the first time since Jan'14 we had decent snow and well below freezing weather. As a matter of fact we got just under 6" of snow thru this morning about 2 miles north of Old Man's Cave in the center of Hocking Co.

Well looks like Thurs/Friday this week we might break 1" IMBY, and maybe up to 8" of fluff along and south of I-70 when its all done.

  Damn the GFS eye candy has been impressive over the past week for the next 2 weeks!  https://pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2024010612&fh=384&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ov&p=snku_acc-imp&m=gfs 

Whoa! Jan 6th and I got 1/4 of a skiff of the 1st synaptic snow of the entire season (a skiff I think is a few flakes deep acording to how my dad viewed it)!!!  Also its been exactly 10 years since we've had a real winter here in S. Ohio! Maybe this is a hint...

Hi All, was too busy to post thsi yesterday, but the 06z GFS yesterday morning had a monster glitch in the matrix where it had 15"+ for SW Ohio/Dayton area for the next 16 days!  Not sure I've ever seen a model screw up this bad! The last time I had a day of 1" of rain or more was mid-April, and nothing over a half inch since May 7. So on pins and needles today with ILN's 1" to 1.5" in the forcast with later this afternoon and evening that my Kentucky Brown Grass desperately needs (and so my wife will stop bellyaching about me watering so much), I'm like I'm only keeping it alive, I haven't mowed in 3 1/2 weeks!

I'm at 17.25" of snow total IMBY so far this winter, my gut feeling that may double in one event, in April!

And poof less than 24hrs later, gone...

Well the fat lady hasn't sung yet according to the 12z GFS, thats over a foot of snow for KDAY and all of southern Ohio next Friday/Sat with the bulk of the precip surface temps below freezing and the 850s way under!

3 hours ago, dilly84 said:

It's been doing that run to run. Shifting south, then north. The issue I see is no other model has the phasing that happens except the GFS. It's been consistently showing it, I'll give it that.

Yes and 12z the GFS has moved it 200 miles further north with nothing but heavy rain again for Ohio.

Yesterday's 18z GFS had 38" for the Findlay area, and lowered my SE side of Dayton to a couple inches for this coming Friday, this morning's 06z run shifted everything to a line from central Illinoise to Toledo with 2ft+ with nothing IMBY. 

Yay a foot to a foot & a half for I-71 again, what's the modeled eye candy up to now this winter that never fell, a 100 inches maybe after next weekend!

00z & 06z GFS has the Three C highway in Ohio getting a foot of snow next Sat the 11th, yeeeeaaaa right

Nothing like heavy rain on a winter morning, snowed IMBY from 2am to 7am on the SE side of Dayton, had a little over 3" around 5am and was washded down to a little over an inch by 9am.  

Well boys and girls if this is going to hold on for the I-71 corridor we're going to need low dew points to start and the column cooling like the Sunday storm?   very rare for repeat storms like this in our neck of the woods!

1 hour ago, pondo1000 said:

WSW? Haven’t seen them hoisted?

Yes they had them first thing this morning but north & west of Dayton, now it is north & west of I-71 roughly one more county SE from this morning.

ILN just addded another SE teir of counties in the WSWatch.

31 minutes ago, CoachLB said:

incoming paste job turning to rain...

Nooo!  12z models hopefully track this next system tmar night over SE Ohio, if it goes anywhere near SW Ohio the entire I-71 coridor & those SE of that will be screwed.

I missed yesterday's snow driving back in it coming home from the Hocking Hills Anuall Winter Hike with no snow there on Saturday and no ice formations AGAIN! Took me 3hrs to make a normal 1hr35mins trip.

Not sure how much snow fell IMBY as by the time I made it home here on the SE side of Dayton it looked like there were many hours of temps at 33 and it was melting from the bottom up as well. I did measure just under 5" on the ground and just over 5" on elavated surfaces.  iluvsnow lives one mile west of me and he measured 7" so looking at ILN's obs 5 to 7" near me would be a good educated guess.  Fingers crossed for the next system!

Welp, I just put my snow blower away for the season, used it once, AGAIN!