West Point, NY

Just now, West Mtn NY said:

I'm going to have to try that or maybe the bolts on outside of the housing will loosen the auger enough that I can pull it out. It's thick so it didn't wrap around. Only stuck underneath 

Those blades will cut you to pieces

3 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said:

That sucks. Can you remove the sheer pins? Maybe that will get the blades to spin freely to pull the mat out.

I'm going to have to try that or maybe the bolts on outside of the housing will loosen the auger enough that I can pull it out. It's thick so it didn't wrap around. Only stuck underneath 

You know what sucks? When you take your blower out and the auger grabs the thick rubber mat in front of your steps going up to your front porch and it gets stick underneath the blades and you can't pull the shit out... Then you still have to shovel the sleet

Large flakes starting to mix back in as rates pick up

I just flipped a few minutes ago also. 

Just now, IrishRob17 said:

It’s going to be an interesting weekend for sure. 

The other thing we have going for us is the lowest dews are to our North and NW not NE. It is in a position to keep pushing rather than be eroded by retreating to the NE as is often the case with highs up over Maine. It wouldn't take much of a last min tick SE to make this a 6-8 dump of snow followed by a few inches of Sleet to bulletproof the pack

Just now, IrishRob17 said:

To make it even more confusing to the public, it looks like Albany’s high temp will go into the books as 29, not that the public will check that. 

True. Anyway that single digit dew point air is pushing down the Hudson. Just can't see primarily a Sleet fest not big zr North of 17.

30 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

The temps may bust but Albany was spot on if their high was projected to be 25 since they hit that. 

If you put out a forecast at 530 am and it hits it while dropping in under an hour, your forecast should have a down arrow next to it  and put the mid afternoon temp there

2 hours ago, White Gorilla said:

Hope you are right.  I don't want ZR.  This is looking more like an ice storm than snowstorm for the HV South of Kingston. Sucks.  

If you look at Albany, they were at 25 at 6:25 am they have dropped and leveled off at 18 with the limited daytime heating. Dews are down to 6 and still dropping. Can't see how it's not all Snow/Pl North of NB Bridge. Probably to Bear Mtn Bridge before real freezing rain issues IMO. That Arctic air is pushing down the Hudson. Albanys projected high is 25. We will see it bust. 

11 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

We have a tree guy coming to take down a couple of leaners this morning before the storm. One that was bad got much worse recently and is now at about 25* towards the neighbors bedroom so it has to go. I don't have time to analyze so I'll just ask, which model is initializing closest to the actual storm center? Does its solution for later look reasonable? Snow, ice, sleet, what's the plan and what's the timing?

Like I just posted in the main thread, any model that cuts this up into NYS or CT for that matter is wrong. It will go ENE from NJ out toward CC. The air to the North is a brick wall of sub zero Temps pressing down. While rich with moisture, this is not a strong low. If it passes just S of NYC, you will have a freezing rain issue in Putnam after a good dump ofsome snow and a lot of Sleet. If it comes off South Jersey it would probably be a more snow/sleet deal vs freezing rain. My gut still says this tics a bit South at the end once the magnatude of the cold is realized by models that don't start with GFS

Highs in the 70's with dew points around 50 is the definition of beautiful in the summer.

I'm with you. It's been sunny and 70s here both days and that's perfect for outdoor activities. Who wants to sit on the deck sweating with 70 dews, I don't get. People who still live at home with their parents and don't worry about paying to have the central AC going constantly I guess.