am19psu

Ahem. Storm mode. no useless posts plzkthxbi

Agreed, trolling in other subforums is not allowed.

"4. Please respect the professionals that post here. They will make forecasts as they are comfortable but continued pestering or badgering of them will result in the quickest exit from this board"

Bump for the one year anniversary of our single geological event ever

fyp

I don't know about people taking the warnings seriously. I'm sure those who were in the effected area may be a little bit more skittish and the general population may worry about it for awhile, but I think that due to us receiving so many warnings, people will once again get used to it. A lot of people were just used to nothing really happening or they'd go and sit in the closet for 10 minutes, wait for the storm to pass, then go back to whatever they were doing before. Now some of those people don't have closets.

It's interesting you say this because I definitely sense the same thing re: hurricanes. After 2005, everyone was vigilant and had their ducks in a row prior to the season in 2006. Having talked to our clients, even though we are very bullish on a MH landfall this year, no one really seems to be taking the threat seriously. I hope our forecasts are wrong, and if they aren't, I hope that it doesn't go into a major population center because I fear many people will be unprepared.

No I didn't get your ridiculous message in the midst of this massive loss, no you really don't matter, b**ch!

See you in three days.

Anymore silly posts from anyone (yes you mongoose) and you will be immediately 5 posted.

Let's hope we can do better.

Didn't get the message, did you?

OMG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Serious situation unfolding and what little I know I can tell by everybodys posts.

How much more curved could that get? I dont know exactly what that means but that is what I call curved.

You need to cool it with these types of posts.

That is yet to be seen...Isn't it foolish for you to write it off the day before?? It is very unlikely but it is my position that I still hold

Hopefully you can join us in tropical season, when every tropical storm north of the islands with be comparable to Andrew.

I don't know what your freaking problem is but just because that is my screen name and I signed in yesterday does not make me clueless...Impress me with some data...If you can that is

I'd say the null hypothesis is kush's position, personally.

140 years is a big enough sample to seriously consider something other than coincidence at work.

Not really. We're not given the full range of daily precip amounts or the autocorrelation between days. It could just as easily be well within the distribution.