ST21

Mostly snow, little bit of sleet in Smyrna, GA

Need to get some more yellow and orange returns to keep the snow from changing over in Gwinnett, Jackson, Barrow and Hall Counties. 

I've got the biggest flakes I've ever seen coming down now. Grass and everything but roads are turning white

Big ol flakes and some sleet coming down. Trying not to turn into a weenie because our Mets say it won't last but it looks extremely promising 

Already surpassed my low for the night. Down to 35 snow and sleet continues to fall 

Moderate-heavy snow in Braselton

Temp down to 40. Its been dropping like a rock since I first reported I had sleet. Down from 49

2 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

3km nam has douglasville, Georgia at 42/37 with rain at 4pm. At 4pm, Douglas cold is 37.2/34.0 with .03 inches in the bucket.

Interesting....

Would love for this to completely bust in a good way for metro Atlanta and everywhere else

EDIT: As I post this, sleet has started in Jackson County

Per Brad Nitz, lots of sleep reports in metro Atlanta

Are Atlanta mets thinking that the models are too cold? I keep seeing snow totals over metro atlanta from the models but they just have it as rain

Not sure if it matters but my forecast low was 33 and I'm already at 30

14 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

03z rap holds firm and smokes the upstate. 

Give me this and call it a winter

6 minutes ago, Snow dog said:

GSP with the sweet spot!

It looks like our Atlanta local is going with the NAM model.  Theirs looks like it has the warm nose

4 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

RGEM isn't that good here, misses us with the heaviest front end precip. Not many models are showing legit warning criteria except for higher elevations north of 40 and in VA

Puts 1-1.5" in my back yard. I would take it here given how this winter is. I'm in Hoscton, GA

Precip moved in and temp has dropped 2 degrees so far. Down to 43

Braselton, GA 50/41 right now. 

3 minutes ago, CntrTim85 said:

 

Still happy here in Virginia Beach! 

I'll take that map for GA

Low looks further south

Just now, Snownado said:

Sleet with temps near 50. Pretty interesting 

Happened a few years ago in Georgia, I think it was 48 or 49 when it started.

1 minute ago, SnowDawg said:

Yep, I chose to just ignore the surface and 925 temps cause physics says that if it's that cold at 850 with heavy precip it isn't suddenly warming in the layers below it. It did the same with the previous storm. Had the surface way too warm by as much 5-10 degrees. Showed even the Mtns changing to rain, when as we know the exact opposite happened with snow making it as far south as Atlanta and Athens. 

That's what I'm hoping for right now. Last system had me changing to rain, but with how heavy the precip was, our temp dropped as we stayed all snow. 

1 minute ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said:

Guessing temps are an issue? Almost all of the models are now showing temp issues. It is great to have more QPF, but without enough cold it is just cold rain. Any chance all the models bust on temps?

I think I saw on Twitter that while the models are showing rain, the soundings look more like snow. I don't know how true that is though, would love to get some sounding analysis

Lookout might get some action as well from those maps

1 minute ago, buckeyefan1 said:

That gives the north east/east atlanta suburbs a solid event. Looks like 2-3 inches near me

1 minute ago, SN_Lover said:

I think we are talking about the NAM and we all know the NAM's tendency to over amplify QPF which is well documented in studies. The low is in the Right Exit region of the Jet and the Trough is tilted positive which inhibits dramatic deepening. It's still going to be a fun storm for you guys. Any snow is a win! 

NAM nailed last weekends snow and has stuck to its gun each run on this storm. Wouldn't be going against it right now. Especially with all the other models trending that was as well

Just now, Extreme NEGA said:

I like that map with the differences in the models.