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Atomixwx

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Posts posted by Atomixwx

    Central PA Winter 23/24

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Not sure where all the anger in this thread is coming from, is it that we’re headed towards another Christmas with highs in the 50s and not even a hint of snow or is it something else?
    It may be on me. I went pretty hard on the trolling and then aired a grievance against Blizzardof93, but didn't have any issue with PSUWhiteOut70 until about an hour ago, which was created by their own butthurt over a joke? I wasn't taking the "man card" shit seriously and thought a fun back-and-forth was going on until they decided to throw a fit, call me a pansy, out themselves as a homophobe, and probably get themselves banned.

    For the record, I will not report that post, but I would not be surprised if somebody else did.

    So if it's me, I'm sorry.

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    Central PA Winter 23/24

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    I fucking hate geese and ducks. I was at Big Bear Mountain in NY when I was a child visiting my great-grandmother and a duck pecked me in the foot. I was minding my own business as a little kid and this asshole smashed my foot.

    Every single one of them should die. I choose to live with golden retrievers on the off-chance they come up on a dead fowl and can swim out there and bring it to me so that I may micturate on its corpse. It pains me that my son LOVES ducks.

    Fuck ducks. Ducks suck.

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    Central PA Winter 23/24

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    My father coined that term 40+yrs. ago. lol. That's how long I've been chasing those bastards off his pond. 
    That's interesting. The only other time I have ever come across somebody using the term "shit machine" was Jim Norton referring to bears.



    "First you're a shit machine, now you're a rug." 5:10

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    Central PA Winter 23/24

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    I guess that their is speculation on the colder, stormier pattern not lasting beyond 10-12 days in January.
    Which is less than ideal, but more likely based on absolutely nothing more than the recent past.

    Some months back, somebody, I wish I knew who they were so I could cite them, posted about the next several winters being punted due to a volcanic eruption. And now we're currently in a different state of influence from the world's largest body of water than we were the previous three years, and it seems like the same outcome is occuring despite the difference.

    Something larger than the water temperature in the equatorial Pacific is ongoing. I have tongue-in-cheek blamed the Fukushima Daiichi meltdown in 2011 putting nuke juice into the water, but the Pacific jet seems to not have much of a care for the temperate of the water down at the beltline. Until that influence, whatever it is, is neutralized, I don't think we're going to be in a better spot.

    And again, I am saying that from the position of the *have* of this CWA. But I don't think 5ish inches on the aggregate in December is normal up around here. This area averages around 60-70 inches a season, I believe, so I would imagine things are BN here, which really speaks to the SE part of the CWA. I have had it better so far, but I can still see the level of shit it's been and it just seems like it's not going to get better, save for a small window, any time soon?

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    Central PA Winter 23/24

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    [mention=2708]Atomixwx[/mention]
    I am still waiting for your first quality post….
    Here's my first quality post.

    Two days ago you were barking about the upcoming pattern change in January. You were posting 200+ hour model runs that were favorable to snow. Whether you think that's wishcasting or not, it is. You're not posting anything based in reality.

    When the model runs are less than favorable, your presence at 2 am is non-existent. Why is that? Is it because you're wishcasting and reality isn't reflecting your hopes? Why aren't you posting the guidance PBP every day? You're already looking at it. I promise you, you do not have the ability to sniff out a favorable guidance suite in your sleep, and if you can, a lack of using that prescience for good is fucking criminal, so you're refusing to provide a PBP of a more realistic run.

    You're just the opposite end of the spectrum as TheClimateChanger and the others who are here on an agenda. Not here to troll, but you're certainly not based in anything realistic.

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    • Weenie 1

    Central PA Winter 23/24

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Lol…because one GFS Op at day 16 is to be taken seriously…?
    Come on now…
    You post every wet dream run 300 hours out. Are you really in a position to castigate somebody for posting one GFS OP at day 16?

    Your lack of posting during the overnight is how I know the models aren't showing anything good.

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    • Like 1
    • Haha 1
    • Weenie 1

    Central PA Winter 23/24

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    They have some that face east as well that are on the “backside” of the Mtn. I can see those slopes from my house in Hanover and they are starting to whiten up nicely.
    You can see Whitetail from Hanover? That's impressive. I've been to Whitetail. I didn't think it was large enough to be seen from that far away.

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    Central PA Winter 23/24

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted


    Avg snowfall of all years with snow greater than mean
     
    1990-2020
    11 winters above mean
    Avg 50.12
     
    1980-2010
    11 winters above mean
    Avg 50.8"
     
    1970-2000
    12 winters above mean
    Avg 51.3
     
    From 1970-2020 we've had 12 winters with snowfall between 30"-40" and 11 winters greater than 40". 7 of those winters were above 50". I always used 30" as a rough carve-out between a good and not so good winter. That's a 51 year period above and we had 23 above 30".
     
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    • Haha 2

    Central PA Winter 23/24

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Lol, it’s not just me that’s optimistic at this time.
    Many good posters in the forums on here & several pro Forecasters are very much looking forward to the Winter potential of this pattern.
    Even some of the Debs are beginning to believe in the pattern change.
     
    And I've heard/read that for three years as well.

    Until something of note happens, I give you as much credence as I do TheClimateTraveler.

    In other news, the ground has caved.

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