Chattownsnow

.

Man those are just gonna miss me to the north . Super excited you guys in the valley north of me are gonna get rocked! Will be fun to watch unfold


.

Sleet and rain here in Hixson north of Chattanooga. Haven’t seen snow in a few hours now


.

Precip appears a little south of expectations maybe? Or am I just seeing what I want to see? Lol


.

This is from another forum.

Sent from my SM-S916U using Tapatalk

I was wrong…it’s snowing and sleet here at least north of town away from home lol


.

PWS in the area in the valley seem to be dropping in temp pretty nicely from north to south to me. The Arctic air doesn’t seem to be getting hung up too badly.


.

Wishing I still lived in soddy daisy right now. Every mile north is gonna count I think lol. East ridge TN here. DP and temps been steadily dropping slowly now. Fingers crossed here in Nooga


.

Currently in Chattanooga


.

Beginning of precip will provide much needed information in Chattanooga. See were our wet bulb and dry bulb go. I'm pouring a drink. Will we toast in happiness or rage drink?

Do you think precip will be an issue at all down near the border counties?


.

Looks like the 18z RDPS shifted north taking Chattanooga out of the good snows . Don’t like seeing that


.

It's also mixing down here. Kuchera is lower than 10:1.

Yeah I saw that and figured that’s what it was. I believe the icon is often on the warmer side with temps across the board if I remember correctly so it may be wrong with that. I don’t think any model besides the NAM still have mixing issues. Though it is right at the door step


.

12z icon

Sent from my SM-S916U1 using Tapatalk

Looks like it came in a little lighter on total QPF. Basically noise at this point I suppose but worth noting. The short range models are mostly holding serve if not beefing up QPF slightly as the event closes in.


.

Man, Chattanooga right on the razors edge. Wouldn’t have it any other way around here lol


.

Have a dusting of snow here in Chattanooga. Go figure lol

Man it’s so unfortunate because the timing of that Tuesday storm is just terrible in this excellent pattern. Smack in the middle of a small relaxation period. Oh well what can ya do? Sandwiched between two northern stream waves in the flow. Everything is taking the low road for now. 

I’ll be pretty disappointed if we miss out on all these  opportunities here in Chattanooga during this pattern. I feel like we are in a great spot until I see things trending more SE on the latest modeling and ensembles the last 24 hrs. Typically I would think this is exactly we’re we would want to see things at this stage in the game but ensembles appear to be keying in more to our east with support further west diminishing. Either way I love that we at least have so many things to watch. 

Had a some brief periods of mixing in downtown Chattanooga today but just light rain as of now. Unless we somehow get some heavier returns in here later I don’t see how it amounts to anything this way. Back end doesn’t look all that impressive to me as of now 

Might be hallucinating but I swear there are a few wet flakes falling north of Chattanooga about 20 miles where I am right now driving highway 27

 

42 minutes ago, Mrwolf1972 said:

Yep that looks about right! 

12 minutes ago, Greyhound said:

 

Does he run the "DaculaWx" twitter and websites?  Is this the same guy?

I don’t think that is actually the same person but I could be wrong. 

5 minutes ago, TellicoWx said:

Can't remember the posters name, but was on the old boards years ago. He lived in Atlanta and had one of the best databases for that area I have ever seen. From what I remember (cause it surprised us then)..COD had actually produced alot of their big time storms.

Gawx. A treasure trove of useful data 

Cold pushes are notoriously under model when it’s dense cold arctic air at times in modeling. It can often settle further south than modeling anticipates but I’m not sure if this would qualify as that type of situation or not. Seems we have decent cold out in front or at least near bye as the next shot comes in over the top of this s/w. 

9 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

MRX said in their 9:30am update that they think whether it clears up or not probably won’t matter. Basically saying WAA will overcome morning rains and cool boundary layer whether the sun comes out or not. However they did say they believe the skies may clear for a while. Let’s also remember most guidance does not show the skies clearing and the sun coming out. So even a situation where the skies don’t clear won’t change the forecast.


.

Thanks for sharing that. Been working and haven’t had a lot of time to really look at all the information available. Usually clear skies are troubling in situations like this but clearly this may not matter much. 

14 minutes ago, Chip said:

That’s irrelevant. If you read the discussion from the SPC they specify that the warm air surging north would override the lack of sun heating. Honestly I don’t think the warm front makes it through TN and I don’t think we see much here. Now Alabama.... have fun

With or without clearing storms are coming, but if any clearing happens (which I don’t think we get any meaningful amount) it certainly would be bad for the intensity potential of storms. 

Things are clearing out a decent bit to our west. I don’t know how well that translates further east but we get any kind of clearing or partly cloudy skies and I think everyone on the forum knows what that means.