Leelee

1 hour ago, Superstorm said:

I know there are comparisons to Nov 2014.

I was in the heart of that one in South Buffalo and Lackawanna.

But I’m thinking Nov 2022 is the winner. The sure volume of snow in 24 hours and the thunder and lightning is too impressive not to give it the winner.


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I was in the bullseye for 2014 too and I would agree. The thundersnow last night on the streams I were watching was incredible. 2014 was also more narrow in coverage. 

The part where 2014 may "win" though is the flooding was terrible as there were 65+F very windy days that were prime melting conditions that wiped it all away quickly. This time, the thaw should be more orderly.

I have a friend near Williston and they are not pleased about the weather there. They get true blizzards that we very rarely get.

Band left a quick dusting here in Amherst, looks like it's south of me now. 

This was never going to be much at lower elevations unless there was surprisingly long lasting heavy snow that doesn't happen this time of year with cellular lake effect or extreme cold. I don't know why NWS and some mets put up the clown maps, but I complain about that enough.

37 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

I always forget about South Dayton but I think they are up there with Perrysburg for annual snow. There used to be a coop spotter there for awhile but I think they moved. Perrysburg and South Dayton would go back and forth for highest yearly snow totals

The lady that always has the gaudy highest totals in Perrysburg is on some high peak that wrings out the most snow. I'm related to restaurant owners in South Dayton or Dayton, not sure, and it's not nearly as much. I think it's mostly elevation to get the true weenie title.

Pretty snowglobe lasted for about a half hour with that band in Amherst, just started to accumulate off of grass. Enjoyed it, probably the last one. 

6 hours ago, rochesterdave said:

I finally drove down that way. Headed down 219 on my way to Ellicotville. And then headed East out of EV on my way home. Crazy terrain! And super convenient to Buffalo. I’m surprised it’s not more developed. Is it crazy expensive? 
Beautiful land marred by horrible trailer trash attitudes. Junk abounds outside of most of the residences. All Trump voters who look down on urban blight. Lol. 

It's not expensive in Cattaraugus County. I assume it's because of the terrain that it's not more developed, and even driving around there in summer can be hair raising, I'm not nearly brave enough to try there in winter. I'm excited for my yearly summer trip through Amish country in Chautauqua... Cherry Creek to Clymer. Beautiful area and a way of living I admire.

1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said:

April 20th of last year

 

85 degrees 2 weeks before that too. Again please.

On 3/19/2022 at 11:47 AM, BuffaloWeather said:

I think the Browns fans were mad at the character of the player they are getting in Watson. They want nothing to do with a man like that in what he did. Can't blame them, I wouldn't be able to cheer for him either. That's after giving him 250 million and 3 1st round (likely high) draft picks. They lost ODB and Landry. Cooper isn't that great. They have a great running game and good defense but they aren't better than the Bills even with Watson. 

I assumed the Browns cleared Watson well enough to mortgage their future for him.  But... then I saw that the Browns purposely gave Watson a deal where if he gets suspended again, he'd only lose $1M from his base contract. So, yeah...

Winning in the NFL supersedes anything you do in life though, unfortunately.

2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Browns fans are furious with this trade browsing the forums tonight. 250 million guaranteed and the compensation is insane 3 1st and 2 more picks. Watson is good but he is not worth that.

Yeah, but the Browns window to win is now with their roster and they went and got the best QB they could, which I can never disagree with. Bills fans know the torture of below average QBs for 2 decades and how fun it is now. I think it's more the confusion of why they're giving up on Mayfield and mortgaging the future. 

4 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

April is my least favorite month around here as the cool weather hangs around too long. Hoping we go right to 60s and sunshine instead of 40s and rain.

Cold, rainy stretches in April are the worst. We're hitting the time of year where I'm always hoping for above average temps.

It's been snowing big fluffy flakes for 2+ hours in Amherst, having a hard time sticking on anything but grass. This started a bit too early.

30 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said:

Question is how do they choose a model when the scores for said model this year have been shaky at best? I think NAM has been best inside 72 hours. 

That's what meteorologists are trained to do, sometimes using their knowledge to override models altogether.

I can't complain about any snow in March, especially if it can last longer than a day. When the average highs hit 40 with March sun angle that can melt inches of snow on a bitter cold day. There's been Marches in the past with no snow at all in Buffalo.

5 hours ago, brentrich said:

Like i said last month ago, we will not see any warmth until late April and I was right.  You guys laughed at me. :/ 

We'll pretend the handful of thaw torches the past few weeks didn't happen.

B winter for me in Amherst. Compared to the last and first 2 winters I lived here with little snow, it was nice having a steady snowpack for 6 weeks finally. I wish a good LES event would have happened up here, but that requires a lot of ingredients falling in place.

I'd say Buffalo Metro and the airport is an A with the amount of big snows they got this season.

The further south of the city you go would be like a C to an F since this was an awful NW lake effect year.

2 hours ago, rochesterdave said:

So it’s a wrap? 

Yes. Unless there's prolonged below average temps in March, snow is a waste as the temps and sun angle gobble it up quickly.

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

This pattern took a turn for the worse. Everyone thought we would be getting to a great stretch coming up but the MJO is in the null phases and no help from the NAO and, PNA and AO.

 

Except NWS and CPC which has been consistent with forecasting at least normal temps for the 2nd half of winter along the Eastern US. Not that they're perfect, but there's been a fair amount of biased hope among enthusiasts.

1 hour ago, rochesterdave said:

This was pretty close to a bust for a majority of the region. Not our best….

This was a big bust everywhere west of you. All models did poorly on this one, especially over the Great Lakes. Way too much moisture, hundreds of miles off on the northern extent of snow, sleet line was well north, dry slot was off...

Buffalo got screwed on this one, which is why you're not seeing the usual posters here lol. 2" here in Amherst, south of here where most posters are got less than that.

16 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

Not the best trends for WNY. Still time to go the other way but not looking great. 4-8? 

I'd take 4" around Buffalo now. I think it's only going to trend lower.

Don't these secondary coastal lows usually take more moisture from the primary than models suggest though? That seems like what KBUF discussion has been suggesting the last few days kind of downplaying what models are showing.

1 hour ago, rochesterdave said:

18z GFS keeps with the cutter idea. Hard to bet against it. Something better give soon. 

It's within 5 days now and the shortwave is south of mainland Alaska. Time has run out with how models are today.

45 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said:

Oh okay so just the faulty always warm BUF temp sensor. SYR was probably close to BUF? 

The lows on cold nights were like 5-8 degrees colder in ROC than BUF. ROC had 5 nights below 0, BUF never went below 0. Not sure why that is, I would think the opposite with predominantly northern flow and more snowpack.

2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

You'll get your wish soon enough

CFS has been suggesting that long-term big eastern warmup for weeks. It has to happen eventually though with the oscillations that smart people talk about.

20 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

That's because we either doubt it's going to happen or it's just a part of our lifestyle to have enough things stocked up... we also know how well they take care of the roads and that we won't be trapped in our homes for long.  

Living in an area where roads are well plowed and taken care of makes all the difference. I've been in both sides of that, and turned me into more of a snow 'weenie' over time.

4" so far in Amherst, this should be a 12"+ storm here. 

23 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

45 yesterday and 43 today both sunny days too. Going for my first run outside in over a month today.

Same here. I've enjoyed jogging outside this week. That's shut down for at least another 2 weeks soon.

I'm getting those looking at long-range models and wishing it was March feels.