WeatherQ

Still holding at 30F and puking sumo wrestlers. Roads covered. Dreaded change line on Rt 40 just south of me 

Elkton in da city ... 215 pm .... 

Ripping chubby snow and grass and roads starting to coat. But that damn transition line is coming up like a beast 

30F

Elkton in da city ... 215 pm .... 

Ripping chubby snow and grass and roads starting to coat. But that damn transition line is coming up like a beast 

30F

Elkton in da city ... 215 pm .... 

Ripping chubby snow and grass and roads starting to coat. But that damn transition line is coming up like a beast 

30F

Elkton in da city ... 215 pm .... 

Ripping chubby snow and grass and roads starting to coat. But that damn transition line is coming up like a beast 

30F

NE MD (Elkton) ... officially a car topper. And Rakeage Flakage. 30F

Fine flakes falling at the Hospital. Elkton. Temp 30F 

3 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Thanks for what you do, First Responder?

My pleasure. ER. Nurse Practitioner. Also 31 year volley Firefighter/EMT 

Farthest NE MD (Elkton) at the Hospital. Lowering skies. Chilly 29F. 

16 minutes ago, Moderately Unstable said:

In short, windspeeds are much higher, and the wind curvature is higher. It's like a mesovort in a multi vortex tornado. Same cyclostrophic balance equation, same enhancement of momentum. Definitely can be risky to fly through particularly at low speeds. Aircraft have a lower turbulence speed than clear air speed. That's (part of) why they slow down as they approach the storms. However, slow speed increases the risk of stalling. Wind shear is a rapid change in wind speed and direction. At low speeds, that places the plane at risk of stalling. You don't want to stall in an eyewall. There are other issues, basically, a meso in an eyewall is like flying through a tornado both in terms of size and what it does to the plane. It can down the plane, even without a stall. 

*this* .... when training to fly your rough wx penetration speed is generally 15-20 kts north of V1 or takeoff speed .... there is a set configuration and airframe characteristic for rough air penetration. Shear in a mesovortex can rip the wings off the plane as the airframe is stressed beyond its engineering limits or shredded by winds from opposing directions that can unduly stress the airframe or defeat lift thus creating a stall 

3 minutes ago, Moderately Unstable said:

 

Lol. Bro, I haven't looked at the original forecasts yet at all--I'm not saying I expect a cat 5 because of MY forecast, I'm saying it because THE NHC said it would. I don't care whether I win, good work, excellent job. But I haven't looked through yet to verify everything. Busy looking at the data. 

Just having some fun MU! Appreciate your insights 

18 minutes ago, Moderately Unstable said:

Welp. They went 150mph and 927mb. They do call for it to become a cat 5 before landfall. 

I still won. 931 mb 150 mph, NHC verified. ;-)

I win! 931 mb and 150 mph

Fine. I’ll bite 931 mb 150 mph 

Down in Seaford DE doing my emergency medicine thing till 2400 hrs then drive back home to Hockessin, DE. Paying attention to the PBP in the Mid Atlantic forum on AmerWx. 

In the 19707 ... 30F. 47% RH. Winds Calm 

So 12z UKMET, 18z EURO, 00z NAM (extrapolated) and to some extent GFS are showing the plains S/W being more separated from TPV and therefore the SLP is coming way south and not cutting up the spine of the APPs. Is the GooFuS simply overcorrecting?

1 hour ago, MillvilleWx said:

Yeah man. Everyone I know cashed last year except me haha. Now I'm definitely not going to cash much out here, but I'll be home in less than 2 weeks, right in the heart of when we could see something. I'd love nothing more than to see a bomb before I head home. 

Whites Neck Road is the Millville jackpot for snow. Has the upper air sampling factored into the modeling of the shortwave energy and the pathway through the CONUS to the MA been modeled yet using upper air sounding data or is this currently govt shutdown furloughed? Have the big players been sampled yet? 

They're praying on the Dominica radio. That can't be good. 

i get it now...just read the ny version of this thread...mods are pissed at the quality of the ny forum and are hoping that adding us reasonable philly folk will improve things...in other words, it has nothing to do with improving the Philly forum, and everything to do with trying to drown out the yanksfans of the world...that tells me everything I need to know...I hope people vote, or change their votes, accordingly...

I wholeheartedly agree