Jump to content

KTBFFH1905

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    48

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by KTBFFH1905

    It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread

    in New England

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, Layman said:

    It should be an easy and great discussion but there are so many moving parts to it, that it becomes tribal with one side pitted against the other.  The crux to me being, is the data accurate?  If it is, is it robust enough?  If these things can't be agreed upon, how do you have a productive discussion?  The politics comes in because "sides" and finances influence these things at all levels of government.  To believe otherwise is simply not being realistic.  The personal attacks come in because some believe their fellow man is actively causing what they perceive as a threat to their very existence.  If one believes humans are causing CC, they often propose and/or support ideas that prevent human activities they believe are contributing.  If one believes CC is naturally occurring and doesn't support those ideas, the two parties are diametrically opposed and "fight" to support their position and/or activities.  

    So often these discussions carry the disclaimer of "I'm not denying it exists" or "that's not up for debate", etc yet there's still the declaration that "science" is being employed.  Seems to me that science left the chat some time ago.  As I mentioned the other day, people have faith in studies, data, etc but are they truly accurate?  Are they not influenced by any desired outcome, ideology, finances, etc?  Can you think of any examples involving data, studies or scientific ideas that ultimately proved to be inaccurate?  (Rhetorical questions)  Just because we're at humanity's current state-of-the-art doesn't mean we're infallible.  

    Remember the Non-Fat Yogurt episode from Seinfeld?  That's a light-hearted example to make a point that many simply accept what's presented to them as being true.  Extrapolate that example out to the foods you buy in the grocery store or consume at a restaurant, the medicine you put in your body, the scientific data that should be unbiased, accurate and produced with integrity.  Are the ingredients accurately represented?  The studies rigorous enough to prove long-term safety?  The method(s) of testing robust and reliable?  We hope.  If these things are not accurate, what harms are being done acting on that inaccurate data?  

    We assume that the data inputs the weather models ingest is accurate and reliable with no biases.  Pulled in essentially real-time and processed to output a possible solution mere hours into the future.  How does that work out?  How accurate are those outputs 6-12 hours into the future?  Point being that even with presumed accurate data from an immensely dynamic environment, the outcome can and does routinely deviate from what's expected.  Add in adjusted, manipulated or flat out inaccurate data and those deviations get further exaggerated.  

    Anyway, I feel hungry for some non-fat yogurt...

    Golf clap for working in the froyo Seinfeld episode. 

     

    • Like 1

    January 2024 -- Discussion

    in New England

    Posted

    57 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

    Good post. I was thinking this too. It’s all you hear now. It’s just the latest attribute now. There’s never any one smoking gun, I think we’ve all learned this over the years. But some folks(and not just in here) like to hang their hat on something, so lately it’s been all about that.  
     

    We were due for some bad fortune, it’s been here starting in 21-22, so we just grin and endure. 
     

    Being away from the board and enjoying winter for 4-5 days was great.  A break from this stuff does wonders. Got to limit time here, when things aren’t looking so good. And check back when something of interest pops up. 

    Back on Saturday the 13th, I had 62 degrees here, so if we hit 60, or close to it again Friday, so be it and just enjoy it.  

    Well said. Was nice to sled/ski with the kids for 3-4 straight days at night or weekends. Just have to find the silver lining. Looks like I will be back up to Norbrook Brewery instead for a few rounds of disc golf. Awesome piece of property in Colebrook. 

    • Like 3

    Octorcher or Roctober 2023 Discussion Thread

    in New England

    Posted

    1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

    There is a chance Sunday could be ok. Saturday looks meh.

    Did my first fall clean up in the yard yesterday. My big oaks are still full of green leaves, but in my 5 years at the house I have never seen so many acorns. Anyone else have this going on? It means big dumps this winter right? :snowing:

    The last hurrah? Putting all the eggs in the Tuesday 3/14 basket

    in New England

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Kitz Craver said:

    Ever been in the secret glade off of the left of gun barrel? You need a shit ton of fresh, but it is a beautiful top to bottom maintained glade. Staff must thin it and maintain it in the off season. It’s as good a glade area you’ll find in the northeast. Don’t be seen going in, they’ll pull your pass. But it’s quite worth it when conditions allow it.

    Love that little pocket, especially when we get a dump. It's a great little glade. Like a mini Jay Peak ;)

    • Thanks 1

    Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat

    in New England

    Posted

    1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

    Let’s stop the arguing now. And the mehing(I hate that f’n word), and let’s enjoy the tracking. The big dog is gone, but a 3-6” storm for most (some places more)should be in the cards for a good chunk of SNE.  This is so much better than 45-50 and clouds, with nothing to track all winter. 
     

    Lets enjoy the model theater that is now upon us. And if it goes to nothing, it’s not like this would be a surprise this season.

    Now Bring on the 12z runs …

    Well said! At this point I will take any actual ground coverage that isn't dissipated by dinner time. 

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 1
×
×
  • Create New...