milleand
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Posts posted by milleand
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Roads are covered in Keyport, NJ
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Snowman was all over this … kudos . Been a fun week for all
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Winter storm warning issued for Monmouth County
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Does anyone remember a storm in 1977 or 1978 that the media said was going to be all or mostly rain? Everyone woke up to a ton of snow. My father always brings it up but he can't recall exactly when it was.
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The New England thread for this storm makes this thread look like Church (bickering). They are getting wild in there lol
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Is something brewing for Tuesday 1/23-wedneday 1/24?!
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A lot of Morris county schools have early dismissal.
Middlesex county seems to be mostly closed schools tomorrow
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1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:
that lead wave is actually infused in the trough this time. changes the game
I agree, absolutely changes the dynamic
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Really prolongs moderate snow for most of the day Friday 0z HRRR
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Coming down rather heavy in Union Beach, Monmouth County
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Snowing moderately in Union Beach, Monmouth County NJ. Started about 5 minutes ago
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***Sharing this from Mike Masco***NOT MY POST
EARLY NEXT WEEK STORM STRUGGLES... THINGS THAT ARE HAPPENING.. CAN HAPPEN.. AND WILL HAPPEN
This post is a more meteorological post not watered down to a simple this and that forecast for everyone.As I said a day or two ago you have too much going on in the overall pattern to expect the models to latch on and forecast early next week properly. You have tremendous cold entering the USA (all-time record cold) as well as a major pattern shift w/ a strong NEGATIVE NAO, a blocking pattern for the eastern USA.
The struggle (or reality) in the model is outlined in two black boxes below.
The first box is over western Canada which is modeled to have a trough in a place I was expected more ridging to be located. This trough knocks down the +PNA ridge forming over the west coast and a key area over Montana.
The Second is over the northern Atlantic. This strong negative coupled with a strong west-based NAO SHOULD create ridging across the western Atlantic thus keeping the storm track closer to the coast.
This however has not been modeled to reflect the trough (responsible for next weeks storm).These two area's SHOULD produce a more neutral/negative tilted trough.. However, that is NOT what the GFS/EURO show. The trough is positive which is why you see a late forming storm with trough energy being pulled/sheared apart (when you'd want it to consolidate and form a coastal storm).
Are the models lost in the cold or is this our reality?
At the very least there will be light snow in #Baltimore #DC #Philadelphia ... Am I totally sold on that solution? .. NO, because of what I would expect to happen based on what has happened in the past! Time will tell.. Need to see a bit more data to be fully satisfied with the end result.
@Mikemasco on X
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9 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said:
You must be one of the most negative posters on here. Always bringing up worst case for it not to snow, always looking forward to “torches”. It’s tiring.
.Always supports his opinion with thorough explanations, images, data etc.
Although, it may not be what everyone wants to hear, I have learned a lot about weather from him. As well as a lot of others on here.
Hoping it snows for All in this forum
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Rain has changed to snow here in Keyport NJ
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Just now, Brasiluvsnow said:
I am looking now and doing see the thread,,,was it titled Boxing Day or something else ? Thanks
NYC/PHL Dec 26-27 Potential
around pages 81-84
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8 minutes ago, WX-PA said:
lol..where did you find that?..hard to believe 13 years ago..I was wrong but my suggestion does make sense. These boards can drive you crazy!
If you go to the lest page of the NY Metro forums, the boxing day storm is one of the first threads...Awesome to read through and see everyone's reaction as the models had the storm OTS and then flip flop up until late Xmas Eve
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Coastal low getting going now
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I enjoy watching clips like this to remember what it was like to have snow lol. This video of the boxing day blizzard was just starting to show that we could really get a nice storm....That was a great few days
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Snowing pretty hard in Parsippany, NJ. Was white rain for about an hour and now the flakes have increased in size.
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4 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:
I'm starting to think the only snow we may see this winter is the blue on the fantasy snow maps.
Agree...
March 2024
in New York City Metro
Posted
Congratulations .... luckily there won't be any snow this weekend ha