8283 El Nino Baby

I lived in the California bay area for most my life, so weather was usually quite boring. Especially since I lived in the shadow of the Santa Cruz mountains. Some years they would get 80 inches of rain and my area 20 miles way would get 12.

My love of weather grew mostly from a fascination with the power of hurricanes and tornadoes. I would religiously watch the Weather Channel tropical update at 50 past the hour with legendary John hope. 

My passion grew further in the 97-98 El Nino where for a change, strong pacific storms seemed to hold together, even where I lived. 

In 2 years of living in Tennessee I am a bit spoiled as I have seen more close proximity lightning in one 2 minute storm then all of the lighting I saw over 38 years of living in California. Plus, getting to experience snow where I live is amazing as I used to have to drive the Sierras and it seemed to never snow when I visited. Hoping for a snowy winter this year.

The one thing I hate in weather is drought and monotony. They say people in Seattle get depressed from day after day of clouds and rain. Well I feel the same way after days of dry sunny weather. I have found the last 3 months pretty lame as the drought has taken hold in the Southeast.

1.60" for the month, but it has been really dry the last few weeks.  Sitting at 58.5'' here on the plateau since January 1.

Last year I received 70.77 inches for the whole year.

5 hours ago, dwagner88 said:

Evidently there is a lot of tree damage at Fall Creek Falls state park.

Yeah, just drove through today to drop my brother off at the lodge (he works their). Power was out and they told him it could take ten days to restore. My power just came on about 15 miles west of Falls Creek Falls.

30 minutes ago, Knoxtron said:

111 between Dunlap and Soddy Daisy gets to about 2200 feet in elevation before the western drop into the Sequatchie Valley. The exit for Lewis Chapel Road has lots of parking and a couple good slopes, which are sorely missing up on Flat Top 

Thanks for the info. I live off of 111 between Spencer and Dunlap. Will have to check out those slopes.

Temps on the central plateau actually going up. Was 34 at 9am and now up to 40. I need electricity for water (well) and wifi (no cell service), so I won't complain if the ice misses my area.

19 minutes ago, dwagner88 said:

Winds have been underwhelming thus far in the valley. We had far worse with the storm last week.

Same here on the plateau. Max gust of 21. Did get an inch of rain.

Two lines of storms have come through thus far and this last one lining up looks to be the strongest yet if it holds together. 

The current CMC seems to agree.

Any hope for the plateau/middle Tennessee? All but yesterdays Euro 12Z seem to make this an east Tennessee event.

Just had a 15 minute outage here in Van Buren. Seems to align with the rolling outages in the rest of the state and South in general. 

Down to 8 degrees in Van Buren county on the plateau. It was 41 at 1030.

Looks like maybe a quarter inch of snow which is kind of disappointing.

On 7/26/2022 at 3:12 PM, nrgjeff said:

Oh yeah this is a bad year for new sod. Established lawns recovered with the rains after the 4th of July. Sod is just so needy until it roots deeper. 

I also have little faith in much rain. Today the ARWs/NSSL had phantom rain again. NAM/HRRR are Dr. No short-term and right. Maybe Friday or over the weekend.

Note to the forum this is a south of I-40 problem, Chattanooga back toward Memphis. When is fall? I miss football!

Microclimates save me I guess. I am 60 miles north of you on the Plateau, which is still well south of I40 and I am at 7 inches so far in July. However, it all came quick hitting downpours, so it still somehow feels like its been a dry month.

Things are a bit better on the central Plateau. It seemed like May was going to be dry, but my area got 2 inches on Saturday/Saturday night.

January – 6.68

February – 7.75

March – 5.88

April – 4.63

May – 2.86

2022 Total: 27.8 inches

It hit 30 here on the Plateau. I'm ready to start planting, but am not sure when it will be safe too.

Snow stuck south of Spencer for like ten minutes when it got down to 34.

Temp was 79 3:49 and it is now it is 57 at 4:16 and still dropping.

Temp has jumped fast on the central plateau. Sunny and 75. Humidity at 66%.

25 degrees and a blustery snow. Flakes aren't huge, but everything is white. Probably at an inch so far. I am thinking I get to 4 inches max here on the middle plateau. Hoping I'm wrong but this system is moving fast 

Was 39 degrees at 10pm, 29.5 now. 

Dropped 5 degrees the last 10 minutes. Still sleeting.

Heavy sleet and 32 degrees on the plateau.

All this plateau getting hammered talk is raising my expectations way too much. At first I was happy with any snow in March, then 2-4 inches seemed great, but now that the RGEM,  NAM 3K and RAP are showing my location on the plateau as a possible bullseye, I fear I will be disappointed if we end up only getting what is being forecast by the NWS.

The perils of model riding...

Same here. Good snow rate, but temps seem to worm for it to stick.

It is 28 and snowing lightly here. They look like frozen needles. 

It has not really been all that wet yet. 0.81 since midnight. Unless the front is supposed to stall, I expect rain will end in the next couple of hours. Temp has dropped 8 degrees the last 40 minutes to 49.

21 minutes ago, Wintersnow888 said:

Heavy rain starting here after a several hour lull, temperature is 49, ugh ....way too warm. Hoping the cold air gets here more quickly than forecast. Any hope for that out there?

It is 56 and raining pretty good currently. I don't foresee getting any wintry precip from this storm. Which is fine if it was going to be ice.