cwc

squall squall!

looking forward to mid 60s on sunday, tbh

we asked for snow, and we got a day of snow.

next time we need to ask for accumulating snow?

14 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said:

46 mph on my roof so far. Shook the entire house. Really makes me wonder what living through a hurricane must feel like. 

i lived through Andrew, lived just north of Homestead.  eye missed us, was in the eyewall the entire time.  it was hours of pure hell.  horitzonal rain in the house...blew out almost all the windows.  we were lucky because our house was concrete block built in the 70s, not wood frame.

PTSD is a thing.  These wind events f me up.  at least its daytime though.  peak andrew was 1am - 5am

ill post some pics some day.

more sleet than snow downtown right now.  pinging off the windows

Looking at the models and data, it looks like a solid 3"

Smiley on KDKA isn't buying any of it, says less than 1"...starts as rain, quick burst of snow, then ice back to rain.  Although I guess that is consistent with the GFS...

lol. enjoy what we got.  this week is a killer.  50s, cold rain, goodbye snowpack

HR walked by, I mentioned it took 2 hrs to get to work:

HR:  Why didn't you work from home?

Me: I thought that was frowned upon. Don't you agree that [boss] believes if you aren't in your office, you aren't actually working?

HR:  Yes, that's true

Me:  Well, that's why I came to work.

took 2 hrs to go 13 miles into work.  egh.

overperformer?

hey, it snowed.  about 1" north hills.  fine flakes

same in the north hills.  not a good day to be out.

Got a solid inch at my house.  at least it was light and fluffy

what will be greater for Jan '19 - number of inches of rain, or snow?

Crazy

listening to how hard it is raining is depressing

rain line almost all the way to youngstown.  dang

thry just tweeted changes to advisories on the way.  

just started to sleet here

screaming bust for most of pa

LOLZ @ FV3.  litteral snow hole over swpa.

52 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said:

We are now in the NAMs wheelhouse. I think the fact that the 12z showed no mixing at KPIT (a little points south) is very encouraging. Almost to nowcast time.


.

12z NAM was disregarded by WPC as an outlier.  Don't hang your hat on it.

https://store1.wxdisco.com/storage/uploads/monthly_2019_01/1670496121_9-kmECMWFUSASurface1-HourlyNortheastUS1-hPrecipTypeMSLP.gif.131eee74816e22fdf67f58f3883cd078.gif

you guys are wishcasting.  you know the WTOD overperforms.  These models are screaming SWPA screwjob

It is interesting that any region right now can cherry pick a model and say they are in the bullseye.  Which means that there is still massive uncertainty on where this thing is headed.

That said, relying on climo, I'm predicting that the WTOD is gonna win out here in PIT.  Its on every model to some degree, and usually comes out stronger than progged.

rain

when in doubt, climo wins out

I think we are up to 25" of fantasy snow so far this year

July in October sucks.  Man, it has been humid for seemingly weeks.

C'mon Fall!  You can do it!  It not for any other reason, so my damn grass stops growing...