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MDRandy

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Posts posted by MDRandy

  1. 1 minute ago, blueberryfaygo said:

    I am just saying that the last several events have been inhibited by near freezing surface.. the COB output depicts these issues pretty well.  I am sure hunt valley will be fine.  I am in the City so I worry more about these things.  I think that we are all going to be pleasantly surprised with this one.  

    I'm at 37/27 currently in the city.

  2. 7 minutes ago, MD Snow said:

    FWIW ICON has ticked the rain/snow line further west each of its last 4 runs. That run was mostly rain for many areas on the eastern shore. One more tick and we're talking mixing into the I95 corridor. 

    You're gonna have the weenie police all over you for that post.

  3. 10 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

    This is a completely different system.  We don't have a low to our west driving north of our latitude with a transfer to the coast.

    eta:  Just saw your post, but my point, which you get, was that your not comparing apples to apples.

    Do you think there will be enough blocking to prevent further NW trends? Just curious. 

  4. 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said:

    This isn't even in the same stratosphere as the last system. Evolution and moisture transport are totally different. Upper levels are different. This will come down to rates and evap cooling of the lowest 3000' in the boundary layer. Baltimore still looks good, but areas west of I-83 need to watch for anymore NW trend. 

    Not saying the genesis of the storms are similar at all - just noting the similarities in trends. 

  5. 3 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said:

    Of course you never can be certain and the favored climo areas usually do better, but I like where the 95 corridor sits for this one.  We're about 36 hours from game time and most global models and mesos target our area or just SE with the heaviest stripe, with a little wiggle room for a late NW shift.   Plus, this almost feels like a bonus event after 2 fifty degree days. 

    Just like last week when model consensus at this time consistently showed double digit totals up and down 95. 

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