SoCoSailer
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Posts posted by SoCoSailer
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5 minutes ago, Quasievil said:
Idk to me that’s a pretty noticeable difference in the orientation of the trough. NAM digs it deeper and sharper, allowing the low to run more NNE than NE
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Early on there are changes on the 18z NAM. Energy is diving into Montana vs Idaho on its last few runs
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In Oceana for the weekend, I would guess we got 5.5” here, but it’s hard to measure with the drifts
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Not to derail the conversation, but the 12z FV3 gets snow up to the beltway now
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Didn’t see it posted, but 18z Euro still supports significant snow for SE Virginia. I’ll be staying in Oceana this weekend so fingers crossed it’s right
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Verbatim the 12k NAM is a 36 hour storm for SE Virginia. There’s going to be a narrow stripe for someone to get crushed
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Canadian trended better at H5. SS sw further east this run but low still skirts the southern portion of the area
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FWIW The long range Hrrrr holds onto hope for the warm nose not being as strong as modeled by the NAM
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Total precip that falls before 850s spike at DCA
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It seems we want the initial wave weaker and further south. Every run that has brought snow to the region has the initial low tracking just north of us vs. almost Buffalo. 18z Nam has that idea and at the end of the run it looks to be setting up for a potential hit. Hopefully this is the start of a trend
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Lat 38.759215, - Long 76.561139
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3k Nam a little more aggressive getting precip back into the cities overnight and into the morning
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For those wondering this is what the RPM shows
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8 minutes ago, ThePhotoGuy said:
Surprised at the lack of accumulation on the trees so far in Annapolis. Sleety/freeze rain accumulation on cars and wood surfaces but everything else just wet.
Surprising considering we have accumulation on everything at the far southern end of Anne Arundel. Might just be that we are a little bit colder outside the city, temp has been steady around 29 since 9:00
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Getting gusts over 10 now which appears to be helping ice accretion. Sidewalks and driveway now a skating rink
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3k Nam ticked a little North with the 2nd wave from 12z. Still hoping for one last surge North to get those of us to the south back in the game
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36.5/ 28.3
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Best rates of the day down here in southern Anne Arundel county. The band coming up from the south means business. Ripping fatties and wind switched to the east with gusts up to 15
Feb 12/13 Event Quest for Blues to Envelop More Rather Than Less
in Mid Atlantic
Posted