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Posts posted by DHS@ABE
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The 12Z GFS MOS has above freezing surface temperatures at JFK for the entire event.
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The NWS is forecasting 15-23" for my location in the Lehigh Valley, however looking at the 12 Z NAM I'm going with 9".
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I don't understand the NWS forecasts at all. The potential to bust a widespread 18-24" prediction in this scenario is very high, in my opinion.
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I’m skeptical of the forecasts for higher snowfall amounts. The ECMWF was overly bullish 10 days ago. With a sub 28” low east of Newfoundland a more amplified trough in the baroclinic zone is going to need everything in place.
In addition, there is a lot of Arctic, dry air to overcome. Without a well amplified trough closer to the coast I’m thinking the widespread 12”+ aren’t going to verify.
December 16-17, 2020 Winter Storm
in Philadelphia Region
Posted
On December 14th New Jersey had 4,800 new COVID cases with a population of 9 million, Pennsylvania had 9,500 cases with a population of 13 million, Florida had 8,500 cases with a population of over 21 million.
Florida currently has about 1/2 the COVID cases that the Northeastern US states do. The recent fatalities mimic the same pattern.
Enjoy Florida! Restaurants, schools and bars open. Masks are optional. Less COVID.