Mothman

30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

To each their own. I don’t tell you what to do and you don’t tell me. Merry Christmas 

I’m not telling you what to do. I’m telling you how I feel about your behavior. It’s disgusting and you’re a selfish idiot, the reason our whole country is sick and getting worse. Because you have to have one stupid dinner with your fat ugly family. Go ahead and block me. This makes me sick. Boomers are the worst. The privilege is insane. 

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Outside? It’s been all inside celebrating Tgiving and Xmas with all family members youngest to oldest. Why be out when you can be in? The crazy thing is how excited everyone was for Jan and the good look vanished as fast as the snow 

Dangerous and selfish. Several people on here talking about nightmarish covid scenarios that they’ve been through and you are bragging about being inside with generations of people. Irresponsible and downright stupid to post this. 

46 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The number of grotesque cutters this year with zero high in Quebec has been quite unique. Usually there’s at least some level of resistance as they eventually cut to the west, but this year, we’ve seen a couple (and seemingly another on NYD) that have free reign to Hudson Bay and Baffin Island. 

 

Climate change sucks . 

We snooze for a while

3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Classic setup for SNE. Mega block retrograding in Greenland, Cold feed tumbling down from NW Canada. Cyclogenesis from Maryland to NJ. Slow moving deep system. Classic

NYE maybe or is that out the window now ? 

Very sad - I hope the GFS is right because it’s gonna be miserable. 

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah it’s slowing down every run too so it’s going to be tropical most of the day on Xmas instead of the front coming through early morning or overnight. 

Prob technically a white Xmas in many places at 7am but mudslides by lunchtime/afternoon.  

So sad. Mother Nature doesn’t give a damn about Christmas, and I guess 2020 should end this way. What a kick in the balls. 

29 minutes ago, weathafella said:

It’s the same road.   I took it many times until hitting 96 in Oswego.  It just was 2/3 back country like in those days.  Now it’s part of the interstate system 

I often fantasize about Old 17 being the only way up ... simpler times

2 hours ago, weathafella said:

I remember driving to Ithaca from NJ.  Pull off onto old 17 and there it was!   However we often bypassed it having stopped at this deli in Monticello-can’t remember the name but it also was famous.  This was in the late 1960s.

I went to High School in Monticello. You're making me feel familiar. My twin brother and dad went to Cornell, i love that town. SNOWY PLACE!

Monticello... I wonder where it was...I bet it was Kaplan's, the old jewish deli that closed before I was born. That's so darn cool! That spot is classic ...

2 hours ago, weathafella said:

Is the Roscoe Diner still around?   It used to be on old route 17-before the highway was built out beyond there.   

Yes!!! Not what it used to be , but still on old 17. I worked there a few summers. 

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro still has FROPA around 18z on Xmas...would be nice to move that up 6 hours. GFS is more like 06z-09z but it's probably wrong....it has support from the NAM, lol.

Please save us 

Nyc sub forum vibes in here this morning 

Remember all - at the last second ... the grinch returns all the things he took away.........

17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s mind boggling to me how this happens so often 

Me too...feels personal...

mood flakes and 27f imby atm tho 

42 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Early guidance really speeding up the system. Icon has front through by 12z Xmas morning and GFS is now about 06z Xmas morning. 

Why does weather dot com for my area say 3-5 Christmas morning...?

This sucks so bad. I really thought we’d avoid one this year. Can’t believe it 

Dead in here

Also I love how everyone on here makes fun of “weenies” for wanting a white Christmas. We’re all weenies if we’re on this board. And who DOESNT want a white Christmas? Just cuz I’m vulnerable doesn’t mean I’m wrong....!!!

cmon mute!!!!

16 minutes ago, dendrite said:

 

"Why, my sweet little weenie," the fake Santy Moth lied,
"There's a light on this lamp that won't light on one side.

So I'm taking it home to my workshop, my dear.
I'll fix it up there, then I'll bring it back here."

And his fib fooled the weenie. Then he patted his head,
And he got him a drink, and he sent Mothman to bed.

Lol I am a weenie. What I really want is just a white Christmas. We have had a horrible few years and this year was the worst of em. Had to move 3 times. Dogs got sick. Lost jobs. My girlfriend and I moved to my hometown in NY, and she’s from the south. She told me she wanted a white Christmas so bad this year, and I told her it looks good. So I guess yes I’m a weenie but there’s something valuable about festivity for the psyche. 

My area forecast doesn’t resemble any true grinch. 

34 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Your a mean one....

So it’s happening huh 

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

I hate it on Xmas day....I'll deal with a quick FROPA on Xmas eve....but give me the refrozen glacier for Xmas day.

EPS must still have a lot of faster members as the front is through by 12z in the mean...hopefully that means subsequent runs come in weaker/faster.

I hope so! 

Jeez I really can’t believe this. Every freaking year. Sad really. Puts everyone in a weird mood.

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Yeah..it's been doing that with the last several cycles, that handling downstream/ N Atlantic ... I mentioned it to Will earlier - .

You know, there is a climatology on Lakes cutters preceding transient NAO blocks over the D. Straight ..which makes sense as any vertically stacked bomb heading toward James Bay will tend to wrap a planetary wave decay into those higher latitudes up there... viola!  Heights blossom for at least a while until it all disperses. But in this case, the GFS is trying to establish an actual R-wave redistribution out of it.  Not sure -  ... could be that it's just magnifying that - it's like the physics are the edge of the visible plain makes the moon look scary huge coming over the horizon - somethin' like that...we'll see.

The GEFs do not represent that NAO handling in their mean/tele's last night or the previous night.  Now, ...doesn't mean this isn't going to happen.  Sometimes the higher res/normalized versions will precede the ensemble mean ... and then the latter catches on. It's a phenomenon more likely witnessed when there is cross-guidance, operational agreement.  The ensemble means et al then gather around the operational consensus ...sort of in reverse order.    I don't have any idea what the Euro and GGEM and UKMET are doing with the NAO domain, tho...

Please someone parse this 

It was a 65degree torcher monsoon by me a couple days ago - trend is good. Plus as Ginx said, hasn’t accounted for tons of snow cover