TowsonWeather

30 minutes ago, yoda said:

It's the eye of Sauron!

That's uh...not the eye.

On 1/11/2024 at 3:15 PM, WEATHER53 said:

You can always bite me and/or use the ignore feature. It takes a maturity level that you lack to not lash out if your model babies get called ugly

i dont believe I ever  directed anything directly to you so your attack at me is immature and inappropriate. Also you are foolishly arrogant to pose  as some sort of board spokesman .

The ignore feature is yours. I will have no need to speak to you again. Models suck at predicting snow for around here. If you can’t deal with that then keep it to yourself. 

No no, by all mean, keep stomping your widdle feets and telling all the mets how bad their models are. Everyone loves it and wishes you would keep doing it, lol

I hate it here.

21 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

How can anything that is “scientific” jump around like this?

It's been explained to you a thousand times and yet you keep asking. Which isn't because you want an answer, you just want to whine at everyone in the form of a question. We get it. We really do get it. We know you think weather models suck. I promise, additional rounds of passive aggressive "questions" aren't needed.

28 degrees here just south of Towson.

9 minutes ago, Clueless said:

Chuck is the man. 

Do you not realize his game by now? If snow is projected, he blathers about some nonsense to say it won't snow. If it isn't forecast, he blathers about some nonsense to say that it will. 

I've been out of the weather loop. Any thoughts on timing/duration/intensity of the rainy weather tomorrow? Just from glancing at guidance it seems like it's not gonna be TOO bad - just trying to figure out some logistics for the O's game.

54 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Just prepare for a dumpster fire of a winter and be happy with whatever we get. 

Spoken like an experienced DMV resident.

19 minutes ago, DeeDeeHCue said:

Buries Atlanta then into Charlotte by 183, enters southern Va strong at 189

heavy snow just south of Richmond at 195

but then a rain storm for DC that disintegrates at 204 and out to sea.

damn

Sounds like the fecal cherry on top of this winter's sh*t sundae.

The JMA will save us.

14 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Pretty unreal national snow accum map. 70+ inches in the midwest. 50+ in the NE. Crazy storm

And here we still sit...in America's snow taint.

13 minutes ago, ryanconway63 said:

Looks like some kind of Miller B Setup starting to unfold......details aren't important at this stage, run to run consistency and of course ensembles are more important

Miller B?

Not seeing that at all.

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

Just watched a JB video for the first time in a couple years.  Confused. He favors the big storm to be inland (can’t fault that) then saying the pattern “finally breaks down and warms up” but is talking like he is taking a victory lap. Did I miss a bunch of cold and snow?  Maybe I slept through it. He has a huge area in above normal snow that hasnt had any snow, he is saying hey aren’t getting any, and a big warmup is coming and is acting like “nailed it”. Seriously someone who still follows him clue me in. 

I'll sum it up: he's kind of a dummy who is not particularly honest about his Big Pronouncements when they don't come to pass.

2 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

That was an out-to-sea scenario, and then it turned north at the last minute. 

I remember Doug Hill saying "okay, I'm a little suspicious, this seems to be moving north not east..."

We're not going to do the reverse unless there's a redevelopment scenario.

You've been awfully definitive in your announcements that this is all but dead and buried...

2 minutes ago, Heisy said:

12z GFS still not caving with 50-50 push. Probably get a good run here. It’s all alone right now though. Check out differences between Icon and GFS at only 93 hours.


.

The ICON? lol

16 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Based on it's performance for the last storm, I am not sure how/why it has this new status. I mean, the ICON may have even figured it out sooner.

The Euro has moved WAY more to the GFS than the GFS has toward the Euro on this event. GFS has crept up a few degrees...Euro is close to a full cave.

Just now, Yeoman said:

Analfront precip 

I'm gonna let RavensRule handle this one.

12 minutes ago, mattie g said:

I don't recall the RGEM ever really looking all that promising. GGEM? Sure, but I feel like the RGEM has been consistently holding back the energy in the Southwest and getting the phase going too late. I'm open to being corrected though.

There was one run - the one at the same time the GGEM went bananas - that looked very good for us. Outside of that though, you're right that it's been unenthused with this storm for most of our region.

3 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said:

Highest odds is probably for a rainstorm. 

Central NC with close to 3 feet. Seems reasonable.

2 minutes ago, Scraff said:

And don’t forget NEMDPECS:

Northeast Maryland Pummeled ECS

I was literally posting this IDENTICAL post when I saw yours, lol

1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

I assume you can see into the minds of all weenies here? Lol

Not reading minds, just posts.

3 minutes ago, jayyy said:

This can’t be as black and white as “one model has this nailed down perfectly and the other is completely wrong” this far out.  Both could very well be incorrect and the solution lies somewhere in the middle or… something entirely different plays out altogether. 

We need yesterdays system out of the picture and the prospective players on the field before we can start discounting models entirely. Hoping one is right because it shows snow or saying the GFS is right because it’s done OK lately is not a legit way to go about It. 

We all know It is going to take near perfect timing for this to pan out, but discounting it entirely this far out is just silly.  

No one is doing this, except maybe tongue-in-cheek. 

People (correctly) have a healthy dose of skepticism. But no one is doing what you describe.

Just now, Sernest14 said:

Low jumps from offshore Wilmington to South Boston from 81/84

Where the L is on the map isn't necessarily indicative of the low "jumping" from one place to the next.

3 minutes ago, weathercoins said:

Really not sure the purpose of a Tweet like this, it’s not even clickbaitey like we see from others (“here’s an ensemble member showing two feet!”)

 

Looks like a pretty solid map for now - and she's clear that it's early and things could change.