UniversesBelowNormal

Looks like about 4 days of negative all Winter. 

I wonder if the Nino 1+2 stuff is just reflecting of the current warm pattern... and if ENSO will make a reemergence. It looked like we were going El Nino, may still go weak El Nino.

Super warm March.. can already feel it in late February, one of the warmest I remember. There's no "space" for variation. (No room for error down, can't really get to warm too cause then Summer would be a dud (for me))

I'm not sure we are anywhere near that regime. It seems even more +NAO now. We would have to go backwards, I think

I wonder if I didn't predict it what it would be... maybe another +NAO Winter? (unbelievable like 34 straight months).

You got to worry about these over-extended -PNA Winter's... 

(I said once that 90% of the world population doesn't see snow)

looks like an El Nino is developing for 2020 as per the subsurface..

I was wrong. 

Climate still not behaving like anything ordinary.. You wouldn't get this extreme wintertime -PNA in this ENSO, unless anomaly (5-10%)

27 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

The grocery industry is being destroyed by the yuppies who frequent Wegmans and Whole Foods.  You're seeing food deserts now emerge in a lot of rural and urban low income areas alike.  I always hoped, growing up, the future would be good, instead it's a dumpster fire of warm winters and expensive crapola.

Health food stores are still where it's at

Wow, what a bad Pacific. 

Those dark blues over Alaska are new to me 

Looks like it's going to be skewed warmer.. the decadal trend

We are pretty much at a point past the 1998-2016 weather cycle. Big changes, if you experience it. 

-NAO general likely, maybe some 10-day +NAO periods though (volatile NAO skewed negative)

no ENSO... Pacific Jet is north. 

Weird -PNA showing up in the medium/long range.. we can't break that Hadley Cell. 

Love this -NAO signal

(384)

Hopefully this +NAO December will lead to a -NAO Winter.. I think it will 

I miss dry snow. 

Remember last Summer-October it looked like it was going to keep pouring snow/cold chances through the Winter.. It moderated in October-November to 60s/cloudy. You have to wonder.. 

Check out this Alaskan radar

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar_lite.php?rid=aih&product=N0R&loop=yes

^We can't get classic -NAO

2019 ENSO cancel lol

The +PNA without +ENSO subsurface is suspect (days 4-8)

Major +NAO in December could be ramping up for major -NAO January, and Stratosphere warming in the wave

The Pacific pattern is moving.. MJO.. surprising from what I have seen. Switch to heavy +NAO in the medium dampens cold/-NAO chances as a sustainable Winter pattern (N Atlantic SST index). Pacific looks terrible.. Pac jet flowing up through Alaska. 

This +PNA without El Nino is interesting... something else happening.

(Alaska was 63F this Summer, previous record 61F)