Flying Bouncy House

8 minutes ago, Ji said:

where did it go?

2 hours ago, Ji said:

can we just get a normal coastal. what is the white hole in Western Loudoun?

Massive CAD signature.  Too cold for snow, or anything else.  

And no you may not. 

Big flakes here in CT.  Expecting sleet shortly.  

Just measured 6 inches already in Charles Town.  Still heavy snow.  

Latest HRRR has snow still falling across the area at 6Z.

1 minute ago, WVsnowlover said:

Absolutely ripping right now!! Just measured 4.75". I'm between Charles Town and Winchester. 

Definitely heavy snow in town right now.  Can't even see all the way down the street.  Temp still 27F.  Sleet line still creeping closer, but hopefully will get rejected by Mount Weather.  

Sleet line progress northward starting to slow down a bit.  You've come far enough, asshole.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=LWX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad

Latest HRRR has the sleet line reaching the Leesburg area only briefly and then changing back over to snow.  Looks a bit colder.

Accidents being reported all across the area in Berkeley and Jefferson counties.  

2 minutes ago, batmanbrad said:

CC line seems to be right along I-66 currently - slowly but steadily moving north.

Yup, can see the band moving through Fairfax Co now.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=LWX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad

2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Look at the radar blossom down in southern WV/Western NC. We are gonna get SMOKED later. 

Nowhere else for it to go other than NE, plus it seems like it will fill in as well.  Still snowing across our area at 5Z according to HRRR.

Charles Town, WV 

2-3 inches on the ground, still 27F

Just now, Ji said:

RGEM agrees

Looks great.  Even Eastern Loudoun getting pummeled.  

Anybody have the HRRR 2m wind output for like 20Z?

Radar starting to fill in nicely in western VA/WV.

Road to Snowshoe west of Staunton already looks pretty much impassable.  

Dusting on all surfaces here in Jefferson County, WV.  Very fine flakes.  27F.  

1 minute ago, Ji said:

LOL GFS keeps part of Loudoun all snow at 00z

It's going to be a battle for sure.  Wouldn't rule out anything at this point between western Loudoun and I-81.  

Things are starting to fall apart along I-81.  A couple accidents already just by looking at the traffic cams.

https://www.511virginia.org/

1 minute ago, D-Train said:

When would we expect LWX to update their Warnings/Watches and the maps? Surprising that info is still up with the latest model runs.

Never according to wxtrix.  

1 minute ago, wxtrix said:

so what? why would a NWS office made a change based on a fraction of the info it needs?

 

Sorry for asking a question, seems like you're having a moment.  

Just now, wxtrix said:

why would they issue a new forecast before the 12z models have run? especially as they tend to use a GFS/Euro blend as their base?

The trend started with the GFS and as I recall the Euro last evening, but I could be wrong.  

Considering the trends in the models showing additional mixing issues, why is Sterling sticking with their 12-18 for such a broad area?  Are they thinking a more southern track will occur?  It looks like sleet will be working it's way all the way to I-81.

9 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 3k NAM, actually if this verifies a lot of people will be happy and roofs will be collapsing in N.  MD

The NAM just decided that Camp David's elevation is 8,000 feet.

It isn't even winter yet.  Of course some will get rain. 

9 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

I just booked a hotel in Emmitsburg, MD - just south of Gettysburg. That is a decent spot, I am hoping. 

I grew up around that area.  If you're adventurous, head up to Blue Ridge Summit, PA or Cascade, MD.  Solid elevation and roads will be... interesting.