Metsfan
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Posts posted by Metsfan
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35 minutes ago, psv88 said:
It’s cold now, 34. But no precip now
The best dynamics are over the Hudson Valley, hence heavier precipitation, cooling the atm, thus snow.
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Nice rain squall currently coming through. Gusted to around 40. 47 five minutes ago now 38.
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Went from 50 to 42 in five minutes. Down to 36 as of 915.
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2 minutes ago, SleetStormNJ said:
He posts under MJO tag now.
OMG so sorry. I'm the real metsfan tho.
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1 minute ago, weatherpruf said:
Yeah I see that. I just remember some picture posted here eons ago with some dude in a mets outfit, for some reason I thought it was Anthony.
Dude I think he is banned, but years ago.
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Just now, weatherpruf said:
Sorry for my ignorance, but I thought you and Anthony were the same guy...
Um lol no. I'm actually a met.
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Looking for a good sounding website. I know psu has changed.
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Everything looks good. East of route 112 is an issue.
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1.5" mod snow. Wind marginal, but gusty. SPC mesoscale analysis is interesting. A lot of stuff pointing to east solution. 2 hour pressure change near kitty hawk with 850-700 frontogenesis north of the pressure change south and east of ACK.
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2 minutes ago, weatherlogix said:
According to the Correlation Coefficient radar the mix line is racing north.....will that slow down or will this become a sleetfest on the south shore of LI in the next 3-4 hours?
Dude. Observe more post less.
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I'm back! This event looks like a little snow to start before changeover. This system is a strung out mess.
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MUCAPE is Most Unstable CAPE. It is most commonly used to assess elevated instability and is useful in forecasting nocturnal thunderstorms when a low level inversion may be present. It can also be useful in forecasting thunderstorms that may occur out ahead of a warm front where low level inversions also tend to be present. Although there are different algorithms to calculate it, MUCAPE typically is found by lifting every layer in the lowest 300 mb of the troposphere and finding the CAPE for each. The layer that produces the highest CAPE value is the MUCAPE.
Here's a good tutorial on MUCAPE: http://theweatherprediction.com/habyhints2/634/
MLCAPE is Mixed Layer CAPE. It is most commonly used to assess instability during the part of the day when the atmosphere is well mixed (i.e. the afternoon) and may provide a more realistic picture of daytime instability than surface based CAPE as it will typically look at the temperature and moisture conditions in the lowest 100 mb of the troposphere. MLCAPE is calculated by averaging temperature and moisture variables in the lowest 100 mb and lifting that layer.
Nice explanation.
I have a few more questions
1) Can we use MUCAPE during the afternoon with no inversion?
For this example this meteorologist mentioned MUCAPE with the morning sounding
http://ryanhanrahan....xed-layer-cape/
but then went on to MLCAPE.
2) Does the remnant MUCAPE(elevated instability) become MLCAPE when the cap breaks?
3) Shouldn't MLCAPE be the most unstable because of the accessibility for a parcel to reach the available energy, because of the steep low and mid level lapse rates?
4) What makes MUCAPE more unstable then MLCAPE?
Thanks for answering these additional questions.
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Hey all,
I need help with the difference with these parameters and there difference in significance. The SPC description is not helping.
MUCAPE the way I understand it is the instability of a parcel needed to get to it's Level of Free Convection
MLCAPE the way I understand it is the instability a parcel has when it has reached it's Level of Free Convection.
Thanks guys.
May 2022
in New York City Metro
Posted
Marine layer ugh. Hate long Island this time of year.