digital snow

The radar looks juicier and ahead of schedule there is moisture coming off the Atlantic with precip breaking out in the coastal plain already. Good luck everyone!

y'all (same two posters) living and dying with third tier model runs is killing me. Look at the radar and study climo. I must be old up in here.

If you don't know where you are on the map you're always in the pink. I toss

1 minute ago, wxdawg10 said:

is this real? my god..

100% I can't stop laughing about it. They are really dumbing it down for their audience. The funniest storm coverage graphic I have ever seen. I was going to text my girlfriend about how funny it was, but I was worried she wouldn't know where she was on the map. 

According to the NWS winter weather graphics Durham has a 70-80% chance of more than 1 inch and a 10-20% chance of 6+ inches. I like percentages, but you also have to be able to read the map. Wral doesn't think you can. For those that missed it, this confirms that were f'd.

Where am I on a Map?

Wral's storm coverage. I knew we were f'd. This confirms it

Where am I on a map?

I'm adding to my weenie handbook since I am new to NC

Rule #101 Europeans don't like snow in NC 

I think the key is how quickly can the coastal get going before racing out to sea and will there be WAA snow that creeps in. As much as I hate to admit it, there is a camp that loses moisture over the mountains and the coastal gets going too late and WNC & CNC get blanked (see UK and Euro). The NAM is delivering both and is a legit storm. ATM, It looks boom or bust and why we have a 1-6 inch snowfall forecast in CNC. I'm going with the NAM because I hug whatever model gives me the most snow (minus the JMA and the ICON lol bc you are grasping at straws being thrown off the cliff after you have already broken both legs if you are hugging those models). Euro is baffling for this storm. I suppose if it's a whiff the Euro corrected first, but those numbers it was spitting out in the MA to a whiff in such a short time period is just wow. 

That thing is really cranking up the Atlantic moisture! Some backside love too. I like it!

Climatology>long range computer simulations. I'd be feeling pretty good in the triad. My neighborhood is 20 miles west of the fall line so we almost always dance on the line.

I wouldn't cliff jump yet. The energy is just hitting the west coast now, over 3,000 miles away. Climo says the MA should stop panicking and I should be worried about a warm nose, not another beach storm. It's probably our last chance for the season. Hoping for double digits and then I am ready for low 80's, golf and bumble bees. Happy Sunday! I hope we cash in!

I'll Take it. No, just put me in the pink. No the white, ok pinkish white and Ill be happy. Truthfully, I'll be happy if I get some blues and this thing doesn't track to the new snowburbs between Fredericksburg and DC.

Roads have caved in Durham. DPS went 2 hr delay and will have to call again and cancel. They should have just consulted me. Left foot, right foot.

Official car topper in Durham, it's coming down good!

Just 30 more miles NW please

Flurries in Durham

WRAL just upped totals at noon 2-3 in Raleigh and 1-2 NW 

I thought we were here because it's unpredictable. Isn't that why it's exciting? 

WRAL claiming that the latest data is shifting everything NW. 

1 hour ago, WX FAN said:

I used to have faith about a lot of the predictions that were posted here, but it’s becoming more clear that some people enjoy posting ridiculous things that are obviously not serious. 

I would see you to your car but the parking lot is well lit.

2016 was the longest lead time lock that I can remember. I was living in Greensboro and my forecasted 12-18 inches was 1/2 inch of snow and 4 inches of sleet. I am really not sure if I can remember a big dog that didn't trend NW 50-150 miles or even more in central NC. Obviously it's a different setup and we could get skunked. I teach economics, not atmospheric science but I watch it happen every storm. Good luck to all!!

If the piedmont were in the bullseye at this range we would be toast. The NW trend happens 9/10 times. I don't care about the artic wall, it always happens. It happens in Richmond and DC too. Most ENC snowstorms that I have seen are lows that get going late and drop snow in the northern coastal plain or fish storms that trend NW at the last minute and Wake gets the odd score with the NW cutoff on the fall line like it's opposite day. I like our chances at this range for both systems honestly.

light snow in Durham

No flakes yet near Duke. I just finished blowing leaves out of the yard so they don't mess with my accumulation.

Central NC just got Nam'd 00z