swataz

Suffice to say the NWS went all-in with the high-end snow totals and busted hard.

Looks like *maybe* 2" of compressed slop out there.

7 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

It shouldn't depict rain. Solidly below 0 at 850 with mid-hvy precip 

Ok. I was going strictly with the precip type/radar map for my comment. Thanks.

18z 3k NAM has heavy rain at the 07z hour. That’s a marked change, no?

2 minutes ago, psv88 said:

The the old NAM run, current run is much colder and snowier for everyone 

Yeah, I was just running the latest NAM on Tidbits and was wondering where those numbers came from. Thanks.

51 minutes ago, Doorman said:

Be careful what you hug...

I don't see six on here in the metro... enjoy the fast melt of March my hardcore weenies

I’ll take the NAM totals for $500, Alex...

Is this a trend or an outlier?

So, the Euro caved to the GFS for the storm now racing off into the Atlantic. The GFS currently shows an all snow event with the center of the Low right over the 40/70 benchmark and a decent accumulation for Sunday into Sunday night.

GFS FTW with this one or are there stronger models, even with this success of the GFS’s handling of the most recent event?

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

The nam has the arrival time between 5 and 7pm west to east

AH, OK. Thanks, that makes sense. Thank you for that.

I am sure there is no consensus on this yet, but has this storm's start time been moving steadily earlier? The WSW has a initiation of 12 p.m., but I wouldn't expect snow that early on LI. Are we looking at 3 p.m. or so now or am I reading things wrong?