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About swataz

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    Straddling the Smithtown/Hauppauge Border

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  1. Suffice to say the NWS went all-in with the high-end snow totals and busted hard. Looks like *maybe* 2" of compressed slop out there.
  2. Ok. I was going strictly with the precip type/radar map for my comment. Thanks.
  3. 18z 3k NAM has heavy rain at the 07z hour. That’s a marked change, no?
  4. Yeah, I was just running the latest NAM on Tidbits and was wondering where those numbers came from. Thanks.
  5. I’ll take the NAM totals for $500, Alex... Is this a trend or an outlier?
  6. So, the Euro caved to the GFS for the storm now racing off into the Atlantic. The GFS currently shows an all snow event with the center of the Low right over the 40/70 benchmark and a decent accumulation for Sunday into Sunday night. GFS FTW with this one or are there stronger models, even with this success of the GFS’s handling of the most recent event?
  7. AH, OK. Thanks, that makes sense. Thank you for that.
  8. I am sure there is no consensus on this yet, but has this storm's start time been moving steadily earlier? The WSW has a initiation of 12 p.m., but I wouldn't expect snow that early on LI. Are we looking at 3 p.m. or so now or am I reading things wrong?
  9. I’d say consider yourself lucky, but I’d imagine you’re disappointed. So close to the city, too? That’s bad luck!
  10. It’s not the dates or time of year. It’s the weariness of cold that I have succumbed to. I love all types of weather. I DON’T love two days of no power, exacerbating an injury I rehabbed three months to get back to feeling “OK” just to get my cars unearthed, and having my daily life and the life of my wife who commutes to NYC daily disrupted every flipping week. We can have snow in November, December, January, and February...and yes, apparently in March. I just figured others may share my feeling of “bring on spring.”
  11. As much as I am a weather enthusiast, I will never understand some people's insatiable desire for more snow when we've been pummeled for the better part of a month. In April no less. LOL
  12. Right. The way some people are talking on this thread you'd think that the storm is going to miss the area completely. Not every storm is going to be 25" and blizzard conditions. This one's going to be bad enough considering the heavy wet nature of the snow. I lost power for 2 days during the last one.
  13. Upton still has 7" for Western Suffolk to the Hamptons, so I'm still confused about a bust. Their discussion mentions there are still some deviations in the forecast track but they're not budging. Which models are still swinging wide right?