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About swataz

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Straddling the Smithtown/Hauppauge Border
  1. Some of the responses by folks in here make me literally scared to ask about things, like the fact I see two major models showing a somewhat zonal flow after this cold shot when everyone was honking about cold locking in until all eternity as late as last week...
  2. Upton was bullish even after the six hour delay in the start of things. Now that the banding has set up unfavorably, either they see something we don’t, or they aren’t willing to give up the ghost.
  3. It appears that Long Island on the whole is underperforming in terms of snowfall. Am I misreading things?
  4. I don't blame them, the jet dynamics/ vorticity with this storm are rather strong. True, and even the NAM lollipops that area. MY area! And contrary to many people’s desires, I am not happy about it! Lol
  5. Reading the most recent discussion from Upton, it seems they are sticking to their guns and calling for a lollipop of 6-8 on northeastern LI with a slight caveat it may bust lower or even higher by 1-2”.
  6. OK. Perhaps I wasn't clear. I just noticed that the run I was looking at showed the storm was too close to the coast for any snow here at all. If the later run shows it well offshore then, well, the coast loses out on any snow chance either way.
  7. Perhaps I was looking at an older run. Either way it would seem that the GFS is not in line with other models and ensembles.
  8. So, from what I can see in the long range, the GFS has a low inside the BM right around Thanksgiving with a surge of cold air afterward. Would this be considered an outlier at this point?
  9. I have pulled no punches with the folks who ask me about this storm. It could get very ugly here tomorrow night and I think at the very least folks should prepare.
  10. Um, I tend to doubt that advisory language!
  11. Correct me if I am wrong, but by the time this thing loops up at this latitude, it will extra-tropical, yes?
  12. With all due respect to the members of AmericanWx, to see some in other forums actively "rooting" for it to intensify and not get shredded to hell is disturbing. Yes, I understand the meteorological excitement surrounding the storm, but the human cost and cost to our nation will be very high if Irma gets her act together in the straits. It just boggles my mind.
  13. No argument here. I personally am hoping for a diminished storm for personal, family reasons.
  14. I suppose NHC had to upgrade it based on the data, but some others posted, including a met, the interaction with Cuba should make that upgrade short-lived, no?
  15. My temperature gauge must be on the fritz. It is reading 37.8 at the moment.