Joshb32689

East Cost snob here, long time Philly lurker, traveling to ORD morning of 22nd and staying in Evanston visiting family through the 27th. Was feeling disappointed we would be missing out on the snowstorm on the east coast as previously modeled but feeling encouraged now that things are looking juicy out here for when we’ll be in town.

Not too familiar with Chicagoland weather patterns and snowstorm evolution.

First and foremost, curious if we should consider moving our flights to the evening of the 21st to avoid potential travel impacts or if we’d be safe chancing a 10am arrival on the 22nd. 

Also curious to know what thoughts are on this system as depicted by the recent model runs with those Kuchera maps spitting out 1-2 feet. Are we getting close to any reality yet and is this a typical setup for a classic storm out this way? Everything on the east coast is a thread the needle event and 99 times out of 100, we forget the needle altogether. 
 

How tempered should my expectations be at this point or can I start getting excited? 
 

Thanks! 
 

-Philly Weenie 

Holy hell.

7 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

I need an enigma machine to figure out that start time map.

That sliver west of DC runs the gamut…. It’s just perpetually starting to snow for 15 hours. 

3 minutes ago, VideoBufferMX said:

Writing post and it vanishes. Something is not right on this internet.  That might very well be coming from malfunctioning post acceptor... and these are programmed w/ lots of unnecessary heavy weight source code.

Is…is it…self aware?

If you looked at the radar right now, and then listened to the after-snow sounds out there …in Drexel Hill/Havertown, you would think you could lookout and see a couple inches of snow on the ground. Nothin but a long time ago evaporated trace. 

2 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

Had a high of 60 so far today with changeable skies this afternoon (including occasional breaks of sun) after a low of 52.

It's currently 59 with dp 54 and overcast.  There are some spotty returns on the radar well ahead of the cold front.

Implications of any sort?

Okay, many models pointing to a decent+ event, yet not even a WWA. 
 

Is a little chaos on the horizon? Is NWS all-in on the NAM/ICON solution?

November 28th, shortly after midnight 

Where have I seen this before?

#delcosnowholestrikesagain 

Are we just living the new normal for the foreseeable future?

1 minute ago, Lady Di said:

Adam Joseph, its Parkesburg, not Parkersburg!

Also Fallowfield, not Farowfield

Originally was thinking how can this turn into another Delco screw job. But just looking up at the skies, and all the different directions the cloud cover is coming from. On top of the fact that tornadoes and flooding are happening elsewhere, I’m content if things don’t materialize down here in Drexel Hill. And obviously there is way too much yet to unfold to deem us safe from anything destructive. 
 

hope everyone comes out on the other side of this safe and sound. 
 

god speed everyone. 

5 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

I'm seeing an interesting sunset - which is due to the fact there is a sunset as it has been overcast all afternoon. I am guessing because the bands are moving in from the SE, opposite of where the sun is setting. 

Even though the radar is showing some returns over me, it's like virga (at least so far).

Currently 76 with dp 73.

Mt. Holly retweeted WPC's latest -

 

Just had a beautiful rainbow over here in Havertown. Wish I could attach the picture, says it’s too big. Posted on the Phillywx obs. thread. 
 

bring on the rain!

Crawling at 10 MPH

Another tornado on the ground near KOP

West Chester must have just been/is being smacked right now?  
 

No one has anything to report?

Apologies if this has been posted already, but found this floating around on the socials... feels pretty accurate. Haven’t been following long range recently, is 3rd winter coming?

50/50 snow sleet mix here in Havertown continues. Eyeballing, 2” snow/crust. Congrats to everyone on the surprise high totals as we again fail here in Delco. 
 

ETA: Back to all sleet.

4 minutes ago, bpjones595 said:

Maybe 1.5” so far in Chester heights. Roads aren’t even covered. Another bust down in delco...


.

Surprisingly not surprised. Heavier returns on radar are starting to translate, but no different to what fell earlier this morning. Maybe my coating here in Havertown will double and we’ll approach an inch when all is said and done. 

Intermittent medium flakes mixed in with the small ones here in Havertown, Delaware County,  not enough to accumulate beyond a fighting coating. Low end potential was always a concern with this surface setup, was hoping to beat it with rates, but hopes are quickly being dashed. 

Question on the CC radar, does that line changing yellows to maroon moving northwest through the edge of Delco correspond to a change from sleet back to snow, or would that be freezing rain incoming? Not quite sure how to read those maps fully