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natbright

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  1. Did y’all see the mesoscale discussion? https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0061.html

       Mesoscale Discussion 0061
       NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
       0908 PM CST Sat Feb 06 2021
    
       Areas affected...Southern Appalachians and Vicinity
    
       Concerning...Heavy snow 
    
       Valid 070308Z - 070715Z
    
       SUMMARY...Heavy snow, with rates exceeding 1 in/hr, expected this
       evening over the southern Appalachians, perhaps changing to freezing
       rain in a few spots after 04z-05z.
    
       DISCUSSION...Recent mesoanalysis shows an amplifying mid-level
       short-wave trough approaching the region, with strong/broad
       southwesterly deep-layer flow and large-scale ascent occurring ahead
       of this system. Regional radar shows a broad precipitation shield
       that continues to expand and overspread the area. As low-levels of
       the atmosphere continue to saturate, surface temperatures have
       fallen several degrees in the past few hours, with areas in/near the
       higher terrain falling below freezing. Consequently, the
       precipitation type across eastern portions of the Carolinas has
       switched to snow, with some locations reporting moderate snow.
    
       As the amplifying short-wave continues its approach, several more
       hours of broad ascent and renewed precipitation development is
       expected. Presently, it appears frozen precipitation types should be
       confined to the higher terrain regions in proximity to the southern
       Appalachians. Snowfall rates near 1 in/hr can be expected initially.
       Forecast soundings indicate very strong low-level warm-air advection
       (50 kt flow in the 750-700 mb layer) that may result in a period of
       mixed precipitation. Should this occur, some locations could also
       experience freezing-rain rates near 0.06 in/3-hr after around
       04z-05z.

     

    • Like 1
  2. Just now, Local Yokel Wx said:

    The past three years have been extremely wet. North of 110" for Highlands each year 2018 - 2020

    Last Easter the pigeon surrounded my house coming up to the top of my porch steps and my car floated down the river.  It happen at night and it was very scary.  Flooding is no joke.

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