Climate175

This seems appropriate for right now.

4 minutes ago, howrdcounty snow said:

isn't that the same storm we got last time??

It kinda looks similar, but you and I know it's not going to look exactly like that 13 days from now. 

There is digital snow in some places N and W this run long range lol.

3 minutes ago, 40westwx said:

I have gigantic expectations.  12 out of 16 runs of the models have given me a HECs.  

I'm not sure where you are located, but If you are N and W of I-95, then that would be expected.

9 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

This board will meltdown beyond epic proportions if the 18z Euro follows the GFS

I won't as I remember it's only mid-December and I-95 and East is not climatology favored to get big snow at this time. If you're at those expectations, you can't be disappointed. If you having high expectations of a big hit of snow, then....

1 hour ago, PivotPoint said:

Lol. There will NOT be snow on the ground in dc for Xmas... at least not the remainder of weds storm. Perhaps another storm.

I think we should be careful in describing 6-12 “area wide”. I think the models are a trying to show some of the first red flags for 95 crew. By my count, there’s a considerable more amount of (almost) whiffs on the 18z eps. I think the amped NE hp and PNA might be coming back to earth a bit. I do not see us just “needed to 2 more degrees” for area wide 12”+. I think there’s a strong case that actually goes the other way actually.

We’ll see but my wag is 0Z euro holds course from 12z, with just a touch warmer at 850/925 and we all argue about the granularity of this revelation.
 

You can't rule anything out yet. Let's see what happens! 

Do realize we would be getting a decent snow a week before Christmas in our region if it is 6-12 inches and above. It's been a while since that happened, and we might still have the snow on the ground on Christmas Day itself with the cold temps.

1 hour ago, losetoa6 said:

And you line cold air nearby up with a fairly active and wet storm track like below ....Our chances of timing something up increases for sure. We r getting into mid December...climo starting to tip in our favor .

0z Gefs day 8-15

 

Just a matter of time indeed.

2 minutes ago, jaydreb said:

Best EURO run yet!  Still snowing in DC at 6z Monday.  

You mean Euwoah run. 

You'd think today was Feb 1st with the way things are going. Had to double check the calendar again lol.

12z GFS has already begun loading, let's see....

13 minutes ago, Scraff said:

I can’t believe I’m up for the Euro. Hope it’s worth it. 

Agreed. With the way things are going so far, why not.

46 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Man. The FV3 is so close to a bomb for the Nov 29/30th threat. 50/50 in place. Southern shortwave in a good position. It is just a little bit late. Then it is followed up by another bomb right behind it. We are gong to have some fun tracking over the next couple of weeks.

OH HELLO THERE:

Such a good look.

Possibly highs in the mid to upper 30s on Thanksgiving Day. Nice!

2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

I think any storm before the 1st is likely to be a Rainer.  Airmass looks like Pac garbage after Tday. Need a cutter or clipper to bring in some fresh cold air and set the table. 

That first week in December period looking sharp.

12z Euro showing a coastal around Nov 25th/26th albeit warm look right now.

On 8/15/2018 at 10:59 AM, WxWatcher007 said:

lol @ all these subtropical systems this season. 

4 of the last 5 storms were subtropical at one point.