psurulz

Isn't the rule that the big ones are sniffed out early? If so, GFS may be headed the right way.

1 hour ago, SnowenOutThere said:

 

I'm not sure I want to see the meltdown in this forum, if there's a NW trend between now and next Saturday 

Wow!!! That CCB is a thing of beauty.

22 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

lol - if you take Route 50 or I-66 you clearly go over mountains.

If u travel Rt 7, u also go by Mount Weather and come down the other side into Clarke county.

Omg....love the lethal weapon 2 reference.  That scene was great!!!

Being in Winchester, I'll take the way the GFS has it modeled this run.

11 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

If Charlotte gets 22 inches and I get 2 over the next 3 weeks I am quitting this hobby.

Amen to that brother!

I thought the models were predicting a -NAO for a few weeks into January.  Did it dissipate faster than the models predicted, or were there other factors that affected it?

Just spoke with my mom in Middletown, PA.  Power just went out and crazy rain coming down atm.

My lawn definitely could use that drink of water!

I'm with WinterWxLuvr, I need someone to translate what all that stuff from Chuck means?

Interesting to see if that pans out.  Here's to hoping it will.

Where? In Maine??

I honestly don't understand how these storms are zooming through with all the blocking.  I thought blocking was supposed to cause a log jam of storms.  Is it something to do with the spacing of each storm that's messing things up for us?

Going to need someone to translate Anthony, but it sounds like that's a good thing for prolonged cold in the east.

11 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Look at h5 vort or height panels on approach. Think of the spaces between the height lines as highways (it's basically what they are). Then it gets easy to understand. 

The wed-fri period has "confluence" to our north or highways running due W-E. That keeps cold in place and the most important reason we arent raining/sleeting/zr'ing. Dont get hung up on anything beyond wed-fri. If the last week has taught us anything, cold/confluence on the models has been trending better as leads shorten. No idea if that will be the case again but no sense dissecting yet. 

Thanks Bob and Cobalt for the information.  Appreciate it.

I'm a newbie and don't understand how the storm on the 14th is allowed to cut rather than get forced under the block per the GFS

Wow...hopefully this is a good sign seeing that the threat is still a week away.

Time to bust out the Delorean.  Where the heck is Doc Brown when you need him?

I'd take P12 and be done until next winter!

I'm moving to Maine...it just doesn't want to get cold let alone snow here!

Wow!  If ICON is even remotely right...that will be great for us along I81!

Just gotta get these storms under 3-5 days!!

I think I'm going to follow Bob's lead.  Unless something gets inside of five days, I'm not going to torture myself with model run.  Hopefully I'll be back in a few weeks talking about an event.  Just doesn't seem in the cards this year 

I'm with WinterWxLuvr....who cares about east of 81