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Chris L

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  1. Don't worry, we'll get another one of these when El Nino and blocking return....

    What I really want is a NESIS 5 blizzard. Gotta see of of those one day. And I seriously hope to see DC (probably not, given the way they measure) BWI-PHL-NYC-BOS break their snow records in the same blizzard. That would be something. It would look something like this:

    BWI: 31"

    PHL: 34"

    NYC: 30"

    BOS: 32".

  2. Thanks Chris

    You did pretty well with this too, didn't you?

    I know for a while it was forecast to stay to your south but it did hit NYC

    Mitch, it was actually a total miss up here... I remained in awe that it gave DC-PHL area 20 to 30 plus inches and while NYC did not see an inch. Truly one for the books!

  3. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

    1002 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2010

    DCZ001-MDZ007-011-013-014-062315-

    /O.CON.KLWX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100207T0300Z/

    DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-HARFORD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-

    ANNE ARUNDEL-

    INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...BALTIMORE...ANNAPOLIS

    1002 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2010

    ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS

    EVENING...

    A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS

    EVENING.

    * PRECIPITATION TYPE...MODERATE SNOW.

    * ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES TODAY WITH TOTAL

    ACCUMULATIONS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES.

    * TIMING...MODERATE INTENSITY SNOW BANDS WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD

    THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL BECOME

    LIGHTER THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL TAPER OFF BY EARLY THIS EVENING.

    * VISIBILITIES...VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS ONE-QUARTER TO ONE-HALF

    MILE ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

    * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR 30 DEGREES THIS

    MORNING AND WILL FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S TONIGHT.

    * WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH THROUGH

    THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST.

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

    ALTHOUGH WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY...VISIBILITIES

    WILL BE AT OR BELOW ONE-QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN MODERATE SNOW...

    WHICH WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS.

    A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE

    EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS

    AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY.

  4. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED

    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

    1029 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2010

    .SYNOPSIS...

    STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY MOVE OUT TO SEA TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE

    WILL BUILD OVERHEAD BEHIND THE STORM SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ANOTHER

    STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE REGION DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

    HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD LATE IN THE WEEK.

    &&

    .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

    SFC LOW MOVG NEWD FROM HAMPTON ROADS AREA THIS MRNG WHILE ITS

    ASSOCIATED UPR LOW SET TO MOVE ACRS RGN TDA. SNOW BANDS OF MDT

    INTENSITY ARE DVLPG IN DEFORMATION ZONE FROM NERN BALTIMORE

    SUBURBS TO NEAR KIAD...WHILE A SECOND BAND IS APPARENT FROM NEAR

    KBWI TO NEAR KCJR.

    MDT SNOW WILL CONT THRU EARLY AFTN WITH AN ADDITIONAL 4-8 INCHES

    XPCD UNDER THE BANDS. IN WRN SECTIONS... SNOW WILL BE GENLY

    LIGHTER...WITH 2-5 INCH ACCUMULATIONS XPCD. HAVE AMENDED STORM

    TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS TO REFLECT MRNG OBS AND XPCD PCPN FCST. THESE

    TOTALS WILL BE SUPPLEMENTED BY INCRG SNOW TO LIQUID RATIOS AS COLD

    AIR IS DRAWN SWD INTO FCST AREA. PREV DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

    HV TWEAKED THE SNOW TOTALS BACK FURTHER. I'D HEARD ON TV LAST EVE

    TALK OF HITTING THE NUMBERS OF THE FAMED DC KNICKERBOCKER STORM -

    BUT THAT IS NOT GOING TO HAPPEN. ON THE OTHER HAND BOTH DC AND

    BALT BROKE DAILY SNOWFALL RECORDS FRI...BOTH RECORDS OVER 110 YRS

    OLD...SO THIS CAN STILL BE CALLED A RECORD BRKG STORM.

    ON RDR THERE'S A VERY DEFINITIVE BACK EDGE SHOWING UP ACROSS

    CENTRAL VA. HOWEVER FOR SNOW LOVERS I DON'T THINK THIS MEANS AN

    END TO THE SNOW. 850 AND 500 MB ANLYS BOTH SHOW DEEPENING UPR LOW

    OVR MID MS VALLEY WL BE TRACKING ACROSS SRN VA TDA. HVIER PCPN MAY

    MOVE OUT TO SEA BY MID MRNG HOWEVER APRCHG UPR LOW WL LV MUCH OF

    THE CWA IN LGT/MDT SNOWFALL INTO AT LEAST MID AFTN. XPCT PCPN TO

    CHG BACK OVER TO SNOW IN ST. MARY'S TOO.

    I'M GOING TO LV THE BLZRD WRNG INTACT GIVEN STRONG WINDS TDA THAT

    WL CREATE BLSN WHICH COULD CONT TO DIMINISH VSBY TO 1/4 MILE DURG

    THE DAY.

    HIGHS TDA FM M20S IN THE HIGHLANDS TO L30S E OF I-95.

  5. SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

    955 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

    MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-VAZ042-WVZ052-053-060415-WASHINGTON

    MD-CARROLL MD-NORTHERN BALTIMORE MD-FREDERICK MD-HOWARD

    MD-MONTGOMERY MD-ANNE ARUNDEL MD-PRINCE GEORGES MD-LOUDOUN

    VA-JEFFERSON WV-BERKELEY WV-HARFORD MD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE MD-949 PM

    EST FRI FEB 5 2010

    ...BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW TO AFFECT WASHINGTON...CARROLL...NORTHERN

    BALTIMORE...FREDERICK...HOWARD...MONTGOMERY...ANNE ARUNDEL...PRINCE

    GEORGES...LOUDOUN...JEFFERSON...BERKELEY...HARFORD AND SOUTHERN

    BALTIMORE COUNTIES...

    AT 949 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A HEAVY

    SNOW BAND ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTH OF MARTINSBURG

    TO MARTIN STATE AIRPORT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

    LOCATIONS THAT WILL LIKELY BE AFFECTED BY THIS BAND OF HEAVY SNOW

    INCLUDE JACKSONVILLE...ROCKY RIDGE...LOCH RAVEN...THURMONT...

    PATAPSCO...GLEN ARM...CARROLLTON...WESTMINSTER...UPPERCO AND BEL AIR.

    HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER

    HOUR...WHICH WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY BELOW A QUARTER MILE.

  6. Snow reports.

    ...WASHINGTON DC...

    AMERICAN UNIVERSITY 27.5

    ANACOSTIA 1 S 21.0

    WASHINGTON 1 NNE 20.0

    WASHINGTON 18.2

    ...MARYLAND...

    ELKRIDGE 2 W 38.3

    FROSTBURG 36.0

    FRIENDSVILLE 35.5

    CROFTON 2 NNE 34.0

    COLUMBIA 2 N 33.8

    LAUREL 3 E 32.9

    CLARKSBURG 2 NE 32.0

    ECKHART MINES 32.0

    HAMPTON 1 W 31.0

    HANCOCK 3 ENE 30.5

    MONTGOMERY VILLAGE 30.0

    GERMANTOWN 2 ESE 29.5

    OELLA 1 E 29.5

    FREDERICK 1 ESE 29.0

    DAMASCUS 2 WSW 28.0

    LONACONING 28.0

    PIMLICO 28.0

    GWYNN OAK 1 S 26.0

    COLLEGE PARK 1 NNE 25.0

    BALTIMORE-WASHINGTON AIRPORT 24.8

    WESTERNPORT 24.0

    ROCKVILLE 1 SSW 23.5

    ROYAL OAK 23.5

    ANNAPOLIS 1 NW 21.5

    ELKTON 21.0

    WWB CAMP SPRINGS 19.5

    ...VIRGINIA...

    HOWELLSVILLE 1 ENE 37.0

    LEESBURG 34.5

    BLUEMONT 3 SSW 34.0

    DULLES INTERNATIONAL 32.4

    ARMEL 3 WSW 31.5

    WILDE ACRES 1 N 31.0

    BERRYVILLE 30.5

    BALLSTON 1 SW 28.0

    CHANTILLY 2 NE 28.0

    GAINESVILL 27.0

    STEPHENS CITY 3 NW 26.0

    WHITACRE 1 ESE 25.0

    MARSHALL 24.0

    WINCHESTER 2 S 24.0

    ALEXANDRIA 1 SSW 23.2

    OPAL 23.0

    ASHBURN 1 NE 22.1

    LOCUST GROVE 2 WSW 20.0

    REAGAN NATIONAL AIRPORT 17.8

    FREDERICKSBURG 14.0

    ...WEST VIRGINIA...

    LEHEW 2 WNW 34.0

    BAYARD 33.0

    ROMNEY 3 E 33.0

    SMITH CROSSBOADS 1 W 33.0

    MIDDLEWAY 31.0

    VANVILLE 1 SSW 30.0

    KEYSER 2 SW 29.2

    RIDGELEY 1 WSW 28.3

    MARTINSBURG 2 E 27.9

    BUNKER HILL 1 WNW 25.0

    MOUNT STORM 18.0

    HIGH VIEW 17.0

    MCCOOLE 3 ESE 16.5

    ROWLESBURG 14.0

    WHITE SULPHUR 14.0

    HEADSVILLE 13.5

  7. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

    932 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

    .SYNOPSIS...

    LOW PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY RAPIDLY ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST THIS

    EVENING AND WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST

    TONIGHT BEFORE MOVING SLOWLY OUT TO SEA SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE

    WILL BUILD BEHIND THE STORM SUNDAY AND MONDAY. A STORM SYSTEM IS

    EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...

    FOLLOWED BY A RETURN OF HIGH PRESSURE LATE IN THE WEEK.

    &&

    .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...

    WILL GO AHEAD AND EXTEND THE BLIZZARD WARNING TO INCLUDE HARFORD

    AND BALTIMORE COUNTIES. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DEEPEN ACROSS

    THE CAROLINAS THIS EVENING...AND THE GRADIENT CONTINUES TO

    TIGHTEN. STARTING TO NOTICE 30 TO 35 KT COME ACROSS THE CENTRAL

    CHESAPEAKE BAY.

    ALSO UPDATED GRIDS A BIT TO TOUCH UP THE SNOW TOTALS...MAINLY FOR

    THE WESTERN ZONES AND THE CENTRAL VA FOOTHILLS. HAVE RECEIVED

    SEVERAL REPORTS OF SNOWFALL TOTALS OF A FOOT OR MORE IN WESTERN MD

    AND THE EASTERN WV PANHANDLE. HAVE UPPED THESE TOTALS A

    BIT...BETWEEN 30 AND 35 INCHES. IN ADDITION...SOME SLEET CONTINUES

    TO MIX IN WITH SNOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL VA FOOTHILLS ACROSS TO

    LOWER SOUTHERN MARYLAND. HAVE TWEAKED SNOW TOTALS DOWN VERY SMALL

    AMOUNTS. DO BELIEVE THEY WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW AFTER

    MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

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