SnowLover22

2 minutes ago, Amped said:

For all the uncertainty in the ensembles, GFS OP looks like it;s headed for the same solution as 18z. Nothing major changed through 84hrs.

Significantly more confluence in the NE. what are you talking about?

9 minutes ago, SnowLover22 said:

Not liking what I see from the gfs so far out east. Maybe something else can balance it out. Could be even further west. 

I take back what I said. Ocean storm is phasing more effectively with the TPV allowing for lower heights over the NE. Not exactly sure why the phasing helps to allow for lower heights but that is the result.

Not liking what I see from the gfs so far out east. Maybe something else can balance it out. Could be even further west. 

for the little that it is worth, the icon is a hit(sort of).

If the run would've went out further, the 18z euro would have been a bit further east vs the 18z gfs. It was clear early on. 

Just now, BristowWx said:

19:50 I believe 

Positive signs so far. The ocean storm slower to move out of the way.

3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

That minor a change is noise at that range on an op. But go back 36 hours when I think the storm was as it’s southern most point on models and look at how much the SW has slowed. I agree there has been some weakening of the flow up top but I think the slower progression is the larger influencer. 
 

Say morning the SW is over western KS when 36 hours ago guidance already has it entering the Ohio valley bumping into that confluence and getting squashed.  The SW has also trended stronger and is digging much further west. That change seems a lot more significant than the relatively minor relaxation to the NE. Let’s put it this way, if that SW was as weak as models had it 4-5 runs ago and positively tilted over Indiana instead of cutting off over Kansas Sat morning I am pretty sure it would still be a non event even with the slightly less confluent flow. 

Do you find it strange that the OP has consistently been further west than its own ensembles. Could the OP be seeing something different. Not sure what I would give more weight to at the moment.

Just now, WinterWxLuvr said:

How far west can she come? Lol, gonna be wild 

something tells me congrats Pittsburg this run but lets see . Don't like what I see so far. 

2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Like Roger Smith just stated a few posts above....pretty much ignore the ICON (and JMA).

Someone from a different forum said it quite well. The icon is a miss because of what happens near Boise around HR 60-66. 

H5 for the euro looks very similar to the gfs so far. Difference I see is the shortwave that will become our storm is a little faster on the euro so potentially less wave spacing so far.

Just now, TugHillMatt said:

There you are! You're the one from Geneva, right?

Yup if this happens as depicted I will miss it by 4 days lol.

LMAO  

OMFG I will be back in upstate 5 days after this. I will be pissed if I just miss it haha

Pretty useful website I came across. 

Has the NAM and HRRR as well.

Can't believe I found this lol

2 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:

Zippo here the middle finger is setting up along 95

we will wake up with 4 inches on the ground all going according to plan. 

3 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

What kinda sucks is we'll have cold air around next week and no potential storms. Hell, Tues highs in the 20s...

33F

I have a good feeling about late tomorrow storm. I think we get over 5 inches. 

1 minute ago, Birds~69 said:

Euro will shoot it down in a bit...

33F

Nah Euro will Call. 

3 minutes ago, KamuSnow said:

Yes please!

btw concord township is in garnet valley no? you might not be that far from me hmm.... probably you and me suffer the same fate in regards to snowstorms whatever it may be.

@KamuSnowtime to get ready to make your snow pile lol. 

1 minute ago, Solution Man said:

Brah

Nice DC will have a 12-15 inch snow pack after this. 

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

 

wait you can impersonate other people this entire time? Didn't know that was possible lmao

2 minutes ago, mappy said:

real shame ill be asleep for most of this lol

maybe it sounds crazy but I once stayed up all night just to see it snow and walk out in it. 

9 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

GGEM actually runs at 18z also and was quite acceptable per @mitchnick

do you know what website has it?