CNY-WXFREAK

The Catskills are going to get absolutely crushed, snowmageddon all over again. but centered further North this time around!

That's the missing link as the wrap around looks like a lock on all guidance

If this is anywhere close to being correct then this system gets going over Central NC and not the Outer Banks and if one extrapolates NEastward, that would virtually send it over NYC and NE from there.

They went to 4", its a start, lol!

H850 LP sits in the GOM for 2 days throwing back tons of moisture. Too bad this didn't happen in mid-feb, what a shame!

maybe their buying the NAM's output, who knows though.

For here?

Hey at least we have a 1-10 chance of heavier snowfall. lol!

GFS is still about 50-100 miles SE, and that's perfect, considering its bias.

KROC, yeah probably not, but further East its a lock! The downstream blocking is perfectly positioned to deliver the goods but if it was a bit further East then I wouldn't even be concerned as it would be suppression, city but not the case IDT, but who really knows at this PT. Time is never an issue as far as modelling is concerned, and we're nearly 48 hrs out, so that's plenty of time for an adjustment, 50-100 miles West, easily so Im still optimistic for Cuse East for some kind of accum whether it be 3-6-8-12" is the question. KBGM up towards KALB is a lock and good for them, as they've been shut out quite a bit the last several yrs.

It's on its way as all models should start to correct a bit more west, as there's really nothing stopping it at this pt. Some type of LE or pure LES may follow suit, after this enters the GOM and gets stopped by the downstream blocking, and throws moisture our way courtesy of the ATL! We should see some kind of snow this week but totals are up in the air. It def gets cold enough thats a fact at least from a guidance point of view.

I'm sure they we're as they don't live in the cesspool of CNY where they drive with feet of snow on their roof's and law enforcement does nothing, hilarious.

Downright Chilly next weekend as it stands now but that could and probably will change.

We're gonna get hit with at least one more event if not 2 this month. This month will have double the snowfall we had in Feb, lol!

We're gonna get stuck in the middle of a system that has signs of the Fujiwara effect!

so is CNY, easily, IMO so we'll see what happens!

Yeah and it'll also send it down to VA, lol! NAO is negative enough!

Its on its way, no concern from me at all!

Still plenty of moisture up at the H700 level.

BTW, another strong band, if ya wanna call it that, or a vertical blob of snow coming in from the East and it looks quite strong so lets see how long it can last. The event that just won't quit, lol!

I think there will be more!

GFS 10 day totals (clown Map) but the potential actually exists especially with a -EPO and a -NAO so we may be on a ride the next few weeks. Wild March Canadian 10 day

Man I sure wish we had a pattern like the one were in now earlier in the season but I guess its never to late. Just looked at both the GFS and the EURO and there are several more synoptic chances the next 2 weeks so the tracking continuous!

Yeah shes on life support right now with the last few bands swinging through from East to West and don't think it's gonna head the other way. I gotta say, it definitely over-performed, my expectations were much much less as far as depth is concerned. Its still coming down and there's still some more to come I think, perhaps 2" or less to make this an 18" synoptic event and definitely one for the next KU book!

Its starting to break up over the Dacks so this may be a done deal here, but I'm quite satisfied!