CNY-WXFREAK

Man thats a beauty for sure!!

Euro doesn't have Ku

Perfect indeed!

This event will be ever changing as this strengthens through the afternoon but Im starting to feel confident that somewhere near here Jackpot's so we'll see!

Perhaps they don't agree?

Its Nowcast time, models will do nothing now just hope you land under one of the CSI bands when they form, lol!

Nah, unfortunately, but you'll know as its occurring, lol!

To each their own I suppose, lol, as I can do without constant cover TBH as I am a falling snow guy. I can watch it snow for hours and hours on end, obviously the accumulation aspect of a storm is a huge contributing factor for most, but not for me, but when I snowmobiled, it was important for sure!

Thats just how I feel about totals, but it seems much more important to others. A foot storm is noteworthy nevermind a 2+ footer, lol!

Snow growth seems ideal where I am even with temps below the threshold of 15F, so thats a +, but once it goes below, if it does ,I'd expect to lose growth but not until then and by then the moisture should be well to our East !

TBH, not much because once you reach 2ft, does it really matter?

Your good Charles, don't let that ruin the event, cause thats all you'll think about, lol, trust me I know, cause its happens often here!

I'm posting this in here because its relevant to our situation in either WNY-CNY but can be even more intense across our area as the system will be strongest as it passes by just to our S&E! Areas affected...Northeast Indiana...northwest Ohio and southwest Michigan Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 191609Z - 191915Z SUMMARY...Moderate to occasionally heavy snow will continue into the afternoon. Snowfall rates of 1 to 1.5 inches per hour are expected. DISCUSSION...A large precipitation shield has developed north of a deepening surface cyclone moving into the southern Ohio Valley. North of the rain/snow line, currently located just south of Marion, Indiana to near Delaware, Ohio, moderate snowfall has developed. A band of enhanced snowfall rates has developed from Rochester, Indiana to near Ann Arbor, MI. The location of this band matches 12Z NAM cross sections which had an area of negative saturated equivalent potential vorticity (EPV) above the low-level frontogenesis forcing. This area of conditional symmetric instability(CSI) is expected to wane by 18Z and then redevelop between 18Z and 21Z across northwest Ohio. Snowfall rates beneath these heavier bands will likely exceed 1 inch per hour with snowfall rates above 1.5 inches per hour possible. Outside of these stronger bands, snowfall rates will be around 0.5 to 1 inch per hour.

This is an enormous system no doubt and I'm hoping for a sub 980 SLP over SNE but look at this thing and the amount of moisture associated with it!

Definitely, man o man please let this happen

You serious, thats weird. Ive been snowing for at least 45 minutes now, interesting!

The radar beam is hitting precip high in the atmosphere but as it falls into much much drier air at the surface it evaporates before reaching the ground. Thats a little better explanation for ya

virga, not reaching the ground yet

Imagine if this thing were to close off, wowzers for sure!

Sleet or any kind of mixing isn't making it to the Mohawk Valley, no way no how. The furthest it gets would probably be a line from KPOU to KBGM if it even gets that far.

Nice map

I think the best chance at an upgrade would be the Mowhawk Valley through the Cap Dist!

Winds approach Blizzard verification from 06Z thru about 12Z so perhaps a chance at an upgrade but I'd never bet on it!

Seems like every yr to me.

Me either, not 1 bit, cause I already know their gonna get crushed at least once this season and most likely more, so no, never!