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weatherextreme

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Posts posted by weatherextreme

  1. From FWD

     

    There are some divergences in the computer models from Sunday and
    beyond which I`ll address a little later, but there is actually
    really good agreement in the main feature which is the ejection of
    an upper trough across the Plains on Tuesday. Furthermore, all
    models indicate unseasonably high low level moisture with
    dewpoints in the 60s over the region Tuesday. Given the agreement
    and pattern recognition, there is a fair amount of confidence in
    saying there will be a dryline and a potential for severe
    convection in the region Tuesday. Right now the uncertainty is
    where the dry line will set up and whether it will be west or east
    of the I-35 corridor. Obviously a western position would bring
    more of the area into the fold for severe weather, while an
    eastern position would be more typical of early Spring and limit
    any severe threat to our eastern counties. Models seemingly are
    favoring a western dryline position, but this doesn`t quite align
    with climatology and lowers confidence in delineating a risk area
    at this time. What is certain is that there will be ample wind
    shear and sufficient instability in place ahead of the dry line so
    it warrants our attention over the next few days.
  2. 3 hours ago, Chargers09 said:

    2 more tornadoes confirmed near Thrall, TX. Both EF2. This brings the event total to 6 tornadoes.

     

    there was also a damaging wind event confirmed near those tornadoes as well; estimated winds between 120-140 mph. Insane.

     

     

    From the local news

     

     

    http://www.kvue.com/weather/severe-weather-causes-house-fire-rips-off-roof-of-southeast-austin-building/409948355

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