omega

I saved this METAR from earlier today. This is one worth to add to the collection: 

KARB 222217Z 07009G20KT 1 3/4SM TSFZRA BR BKN010 OVC015 00/M02 A2974 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E AND SW AND W TSB17 CIG 007V013 P0010 I1005 T00001022

13 minutes ago, Imneversatisfied said:

What are the odds the slp locations move east?

The quickest way to determine that is to eyeball trends, and whether or not you're still in the game is looking at all of the trends in the ensembles. Here are all of the runs yesterday and today:

GFS

ECMWF

CMC

Overall, it seems like the models are convering on the low tracking from IL into MI. The models will keep bouncing around within that region until we get a better handle on upstream features, but I don't personally expect massive jumps at this point.