Spartan77

So far with the storm here. Bands are starting to pick up in intensity again. Wind is still rippin outside.

Snow and wind was pretty brutal driving from the lakeshore to Grand Rapids this morning. Although the lakeshore has heavier snow falling at the moment. Had around 3 ft snow drifts around car when I dug it out. Drive home is gonna be wild and slow.

No problem sticking here. Winds ramped up pretty quickly so the fine snow is blowing easily already. Roads are gonna be a mess in a couple hours. Thats before we even get to the worst of it.

18 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

Getting excited for tomorrow night. Going to be an insane temperature drop as the rain quickly turns to snow with blizzard conditions

 

 

Same here. I live a couple miles off lake michigan. Expecting some insane wind gusts. However, like previous systems, the higher snow totals will probably be right along US131 because of these winds. 1 to 2 feet aint too bad though. Drifting is going to be something I dont think I have seen.

MARINE...
Issued at 305 PM EST Tue Dec 20 2022

Not much thinking has changed in terms of the storm and it
associated marine impacts. There is an increased risk for freezing
spray and with waves now forecast to approach 20 ft...we will need
to assess the erosion risk. Confidence continues to grow on the
storm force wind risk with still a small potential for hurricane
force wind gusts.

Would be pretty amazing to see the effects of the waves and freezing spray on the piers along the western Michigan shoreline.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Monday)
Issued at 241 PM EST Mon Dec 19 2022

High Impact Weather Potential: Large storm system with impactful
weather to northern Michigan possible Friday-Saturday with lake
effect and colder weather behind the departing system.

Long term models are continuing to come together with a storm system
that develops in the central Great Plains and moves into the
southern Great Lakes region. There are still uncertainties in the
exact track of this system, which would have a great impact on p-
type and amounts. The current track would definitely produce snow
with possibly a quick period of a wintry mix on the front side
Friday over northern Michigan...but as stated already...still quite
a bit of uncertainty. The storm at this time is forecast to drop
between 27-31mb (depending on model) to become a 967-969mb surface
low in a 24 hour period from Thursday night to Friday night. This is
considerable strengthening (bombogenesis) as it is tracks over/near
the Detroit area and up Lake Huron. This will end up being quite a
storm wherever it impacts, with heavy accumulating and blowing snow
and strong winds in the heart of the storm. Wind will be very
strong...the GFS has the strongest wind gusts...which has hit
hurricane strength along the Lake Michigan shoreline the past four
runs. Regardless of this storm system`s track being either more
north, south, east, or west this will be a very impactful storm to
northern Michigan...possibly historic. It`s also safe to say that
much colder air would move in behind the departing system by the end
of the work week producing lake effect snow at times and some single
digit lows behind this departing storm system.

Gaylord has very strong wording on the wind gusts. Curious if that will translate further down the shoreline. Crazy reading most of these AFD's!

26 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said:

Biggest hail I've ever seen was golf ball size. Quite frankly, that's big enough. 

When I lived in Colorado Springs there was a hail storm that came off the mountains in August of 2018. I was pumping gas when baseball hail started falling. Don't ever want see that again. Literally punched holes in all the cars.