JayPSU

32 minutes ago, buckeye said:

eerily still.  Windows frosted over.   Now it looks like we don’t break 0 degrees today 

Wind hasn’t kicked in up your way?  I’m on the south side of Westerville and it’s really starting to crank.  I can’t tell how much snow we got but 4” definitely sounds right!

13 minutes ago, buckeye said:

I went out a little earlier, it's a steady heavy mist/drizzle, low clouds, dismal and in the 40's.   Kinda reminds me of that benign afternoon of Wednesday January 25th, 1978.  

In all seriousness I do think we are looking a little better here in central OH.  It seems there's been a slight trend east with everything and I've seen some short model runs that give us more precip then places west.   Not saying it's going to be heavy snow but I think we have a better shot of 3" + then it looked like yesterday.

Yeah, the roads are wetter than I expected. If the cold air really does rocket in here, the roads will be a block of ice as snow gets going.

4 minutes ago, Gino27 said:

Still time to improve, but yeah not a great look

It’ll have to be the conventional way…we’ll have to be on the west side of the track which looks unlikely at this point.

2 minutes ago, Gino27 said:

 

Weaker/progressive trends continue. Not really overly impressive look anymore, but still impactful.

Now just a dusting of snow here.  I’m telling you, stick a fork in it.

36 minutes ago, buckeye said:

The gfs actually came in a bit stronger .   Honestly though, I wouldn't even be looking at snowfall maps until later tomorrow.   There are so many nuances with exact track, synoptic changeover time, localized squalls, etc.   Still, if we were staring down the barrel of our usual central OH xmas, (brown and 40 degrees), we'd be begging for something like this.       

Wasn't last year when we had the xmas eve 4 incher?  

If there wasn’t the chance for power outages, I’d be with you.  But if we get a cold, dry, wind machine which forces me to look for a hotel on Christmas Eve, I’ll be pissed.   I’d rather have 40’s and brown then.

Looking like a giant, cold, dry, wind machine here.  I’m done.  Stick a fork in this one.

1 hour ago, buckeye said:

typical historic trends and climo are for typical storms....this is not going to be a typical storm.

I don't know whether the current track holds or it goes west or it goes east....nor does anyone else.    I suppose this might be classified as a manitoba mauler??    If fail happens, (meaning getting the snowfall shaft), it won't be because of a warm tongue, it'll be a dryslot that screws someone.    Sure there'll be rain ahead of the storm but models often underestimate how quickly the temps crash with such a dynamic system.   This is not the type of system where we'll be waiting endlessly for sleet and rain to turn to snow,  it'll be rain...bang...snow and wind.   Whether we get 3" or a foot it's going to be a fun one.    The blizzard of 78 only dropped 6 or 7 inches in a very short time and that closed the city for a week and was the deadliest and costliest winterstorm in our history.

Let's not offend mother nature by complaining about dendrite growth due to high winds .    Let's jus get a memorable xmas eve snowstorm that we can tell our grandkids about.   Besides, I have my first grandchild due xmas day!   Going to be a fun week.

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Congrats, buckeye!!

What happened to Hoosier?  Or, if it's easier, can someone point me to the thread where I can find out myself?

1 minute ago, ILSNOW said:

meaning toss the GFS?

Meaning, I wouldn't take any of this to the bank.  

With so much run to run variance, can we really take any solution seriously at this point?

3 minutes ago, KokomoWX said:

Some Ohio peeps would be so overjoyed if that was even half true.  I can also support this solution. 

3/4 of IL, ALL of IN, and ALL of Ohio would be overjoyed.  It would be the Christmas spread the presents storm for most of us.  Lock it up!

Soooo.....the 12Z CMC.  

3 hours ago, pondo1000 said:

Euro & GFS world’s apart

And Canadian.  Euro has basically a dry slot, Canadian has an ice storm, and GFS a snowstorm.  Should be interesting…

6 minutes ago, Gino27 said:

Back to snow for now. Looks like pockets of sleet around for a bit longer

Yeah the good thing is it’s mostly snow with sleet mixing in.

Just now, dilly84 said:

What was it, heavy snow again?

Yep, heavier returns moving in.

3 minutes ago, dilly84 said:

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It seems that my files are too large for the file limit.

1 minute ago, buckeye said:

little bit of a lull right now.....light snow and light pingers

Here it comes…

5 minutes ago, buckeye said:

oh you're not very far from me.   You aren't all sleet are you?    I just took my dog out and I could definitely feel the sting of the ping in the snow falling.

It’s not all snow….maybe 60/40 snow?  You can feel the sting, and you can hear it hitting the ground, but also lots of flakes too.

8 minutes ago, vespasian70 said:

Imagine never getting any snow at all while watching the line creep back NW!

Ugh, I feel your pain.

1 minute ago, buckeye said:

Yea if you're in Bexley makes sense since it's eastside of downtown.... it'll switch back.  Still lot of qpf on the way   

No, I’m in the south side of Westerville in Blendon Township.  

Just now, buckeye said:

Pretty sure we have some taint in there too.   Hrrr showed a potential msnow to mix.   Shouldn't last too long.

Yep, it’s already halting progress NW and should move back SE.  Just frustrating is all.  Looking like 6” is doable.

Back to sleet here.  Talk about testing one’s patience.

10 minutes ago, Gino27 said:

Line stalled and coming NW if anything…

Yep, it’s bubbling back NW.  Hopefully it’s short lived.

It’s already blowing all around too!  This is awesome!

15 minutes ago, buckeye said:

full on snowstorm here....  finally nice to see it this winter

Yep, absolutely crazy ripping out there right now!