OKpowdah

This is a pretty telling picture. Strong agreement among the CAMs like you said. Widespread severe event looks likely.

Just now, radarman said:

0-1" of snow on the ground going in

3" new

8" more to go apparently 

2 minutes ago, mostman said:

Lol. 

 

Maybe they were *forecasting* snow including what's on the ground in Amherst...? 

Figured this still would go in this thread...
Lots of fun tomorrow too. Upstream ML low drops over the Northeast, 500mb temps plummet to around -35C. There's no low level cold advection going on behind this storm. Plus low to mid level moisture gets trapped in the broad circulation formed. We're talking total totals >50, even potentially some low level CAPE >100J/kg. 
Recipe for heavy snow squalls with whiteout conditions, maybe some thunder.

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It wouldn't surprise me if there were an inch or two tonight from that. The ULL goes right over head too which will help with the snow shower activity.

The upper low is going to give you guys some fun for sure. Especially tomorrow. I mean you even have surface based CAPE tomorrow afternoon. Good recipe for squalls with whiteout conditions.

Parents back in Keene, NH reporting 3.5" total so far

For the sake of my own mental health, I'm so happy I'm living in Oklahoma right now.
Because if I was back in Keene, NH for the moats in these past two storms ..... 

The fgen band already overperforming as it is, if the elevated isothermal layer can cool just like a degree more, someone in SE MA is guaranteed 30" with prolonged 3-4/hr rates. Other guarantee is someone just W of this mega-band, and east of some western edge banding, is getting screwed.

Shallow convection. Actually have a little bit of CAPE in the lowest couple kilometers. HRRR has this in the forecast too.

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

5 possible opportunities for deep deep BM area cyclones has produced 3 epic storms, historic really.

Beginning with the early January bomb and going forward, the last 2 and half months have delivered a very impressive frequency of rapid deepening and deep cyclones inside 65W, and even more remarkably, south of 40N. I mean multiple sub-970 xtrop lows inside 40/65 in a couple months. Amazing.

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

I mentioned your name the other day that your snow maps use to give rise to many..................

lol I was tempted to make a map for this storm. I'm sure the snowfall distribution will be as phallic as ever.

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

DST really sucks. Totally useless this early in the year. 

00z RPM out to 2 hours. Gonna be a long hour of waiting...sans the brief interruption where metfan tells us the 21z srefs look good. 

DST is EXTREMELY useful now! We need every minute of evening daylight we can get for chasing

Prospects of epic banding over eastern New England brought me here to watch y'all get hyped up! What a stretch.

Following the recurvature of Typhoon Francisco, we get a huge jet amplification again in the West Pacific, and it looks like both the GFS and ECMWF want to develop an intense low in the poleward exit region by day 7-10. Could get kinda windy around the Aleutians to western Alaska.

Ahhh I want to be back up there! Great pics man!

Aurora forecast for this weekend! Too bad we're counting on darkness and clear skies ... both of which may be difficult to come by http://www.gi.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast/Alaska/2012/07/14

11th anniversary of my favorite snowstorm

Good stuff Ryan.

Mind blowing. Absolutely incredible

Will, did you ever get a copy of this?

I read a little of it in a coffee shop in Keene. The author went to Keene High School and wrote for the Sentinel (the local paper)

Probably about half of the snow on the ground in Plymouth is from the pre-Thanksgiving storm

I've been reminiscing about this tonight...

Absolutely amazing!! That band is incredible. I can't believe I wasn't home in Keene for it.

12" in Keene, which was a little "disappointing", but significant nonetheless

And the model watching was the most excitement I've ever had with a storm I have to say. 20-30" in eastern NY, western MA, and S VT where a few days earlier partly cloudy skies were a justifiable forecast. Absolutely incredible.

February 27, 2008

I hope it comes in January. I want to look out the window at night and see what looks like a thick fog from blinding heavy snow

Living vicariously through a case study of the Dec 2002 storm right now

Lets all hope for a weak Nino next year. West based would be nice.

Nino and +QBO ... Definitely a crappy winter next year.