Morch Madness

RGEM is not quite as good as the NAM but pretty much the same as 12z

Canadian looks like about 22mm at DCA

Looks basically the same as 12z, and similar to GFS and GGEM. NAM is by itself.

NS with a big improvement, sloppy phase with the SS but does get it done by 84. And of course it has the SW like 500 miles west of where the GFS has it.

Ukie is also weaker and further OTS

Demolished with temps in the upper teens. A nearly perfect run.

H5 looks great thru 96, arguably better than 12z

Ukie looks like a solid 2-4, more down towards RVA

This is a pretty substantial move toward the Euro

Wide left on wave 1, wide right on wave 2, wave 3 still in play.

GFS is the new Doctor No

Daytime Jebwalk under SN+, I'm happy with this storm

Euro also some truly incredible cold after the storm.

Still a decent thump on the front end, then hopefully we dry slot.

Eyeballing 8-10" or so in Merrifield

Some of the biggest flakes I’ve ever seen right now

HRRR has been cooling slightly each run. 13z is basically all snow for anyone north of PHL

how about one subforum where it's just metsfan, Damage in Tolland and forky and it's the only subforum they're allowed to post in

Every mookiemike post would start off with an OBS and 2 sentences later he'd be talking about some random non-weather thing he remember from living in NYC 25 years ago

20 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Who is JB?

Joe Bastardi, metsfan's favorite met

On 12/6/2016 at 2:12 PM, forkyfork said:

c'mon, don't you guys want to read day 10 gfs updates from metfan?

jb says the cfs looks great !

Glenn seems to be on board for a mid-Jan pattern change, possible storm around the 10th.

1967-1977 was even worse.

Yeah - ouch. We have been spoiled rotten these last 2 decades, far more hits than duds. It would be interesting to see a comparison of the 20- or 25-year means to the historical means for DCA, PHL, NYC and BOS, I'd bet at least one of those sites has seen a ridiculously high anomaly.

I didn't realize that the Blizzard of 93 was PHL's first double digit snowfall in 10 years. I can't imagine living through a stretch like that.

Wow the 18z GFS is scary.  Weird and Yuck.  Has a super screw zone over like Foxboro.  Mmmmmm.  

Almost nothing about that run was remotely correct. Absolutely nothing to worry about.