Misstertwister

Whatever happened to Oklahoma threads in the South Region forum? 

Haven’t been on in a while. Have things changed? Don’t see a topic about Oklahoma today. I usually see Oklahoma topics in the central western states forum. But no bueno. All silent. Or there is and I’m not looking in the right place 

I’m in Deer Creek/Edmond and about 5-10 minutes ago watching from my front porch and it got cold fast

Cold front incoming. Storms going nite nite 

I’m battling a couple of sick kids that need to go down for bed. Looks like most the bad stuff is south and east of us in Edmond/Deer Creek for the night. Opinion on here from the professionals to put the kids to bed and tuck in for the night? I know the watch is until 3AM but exhausted from all the activity today and taking care of the sick kids 

Boy that cold front sure is racing into western Ok. Methinks this undercuts and goes linear fast. Environment too ripe and storms popping up too quickly. 

Hey all. I come on here for weather updates. I am learning how to read analogs. However, I’ve got a business trip coming up in New Orleans and ill be driving in from East Texas Wednesday and arriving in NO Wednesday afternoon. Is this more of an AL/MS event or Louisiana/NO also?

ill obviously be watching the SPc next few days but does travel and stay in NO look alright for Wednesday?

38 minutes ago, nrgjeff said:

Back half of of May is looking good for chasers who can forecast. Might be a couple big days, and maybe a big crap-out; otherwise, looks like a nice set-up picker's market. Closed lows (like this week) can and do produce like Wray Colorado. Week of the 15th, late that week near the Rozel anniversary, looks like a gorgeous open trough. Still fighting remnants of East trough, but the Plains can recover quickly in mid-May. Ensembles and weeklies hint at another trough week of May 22, again maybe later in the week. The later in May the better. Yes, it is hard to screw up late May barring a total debacle pattern.

What do you look at for troughing long term? Wind fields? GFS, CFS,?  This one thing I'm getting new at and haven't really understood what to look for.

im getting better at looking at short term for different variables i.e., EHI, dewpoint, wind speeds form 850 to 500, cape, CIN but I never really dive in to long term like a lot of y'all fo

whats the latest thoughts on what this actual topic is for............Central/Western Medium-Long Range Discussion???

Don't forget to check winds upstairs. Look for southwest winds at 500 mb and 200 mb; west is even better at 200 mb. Look for nearly straight south at 850 mb, SSE is even better. I wrote a lot more in the May 7-9 severe thread page 26.

At any rate the 12Z GFS in on board with winds, and with low press and fronts in the central Plains. Lots of rain shown before peak heating, but it is days away...

Yes. Thanks. Will do. I'm still not sure if I look for CAPE first then other parameters. It seems to me you need the energy in a specific area is why I look for CAPE first then try to put the puzzle together. I'll get the hang of it soon

Very interested in next Monday. GFS shows a pretty potent setup over C OK.

Euro lags behind.

As I've posted in the May 7-10 thread, I'm new at the this and learning which I find fascinating. I just recently scanned the GFS 18Z for 00Z Tuesday May 16. I noticed all the SBCAPE moved south to DFW from C. OK. Am I correct?

It seemed earlier that C. OK looked potent and may still but again just now in infant stages of reading the models.

Got a lot of kid activities Wednesday night in OKC/edmond. What's the potential here? Naders or good ole spring storms

Got a lot of kid activities Wednesday night in OKC/edmond. What's the potential here? Naders or good ole spring storms