LongRanger
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Posts posted by LongRanger
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I like seeing juicy Pacific systems come ashore near LA, as is progged for this weekend. When other conditions are right, those have produced some of our biggest snows about a week later. May that pattern continue into the coming colder months.
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Eric Wilhelm's focus is on Ohio, but he does a nice job explaining the reasoning behind his winter forecast for the larger region. He explains the acronym sea of QBO, IOD, ENSO, etc. He posted the full winter forecast version on youtube today.
https://www.wfmj.com/clip/15520187/erics-annual-winter-forecast-
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maxed at 40, making today's avg 34.5
Nov 22 last year had similar cold -
29 for the low here, first freeze of the season.
This brief cold shot reminds me of what most of November 1977 was like. Repeated frontal passages followed by cold stratocumulus skies.-
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Topped out at 44, some 5 to 10 degrees lower than forecast. Growing season very likely to end tonight, but wind will prevent temp from dropping far below freezing.
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down to 36 at 10 pm, feels like I-95 gets first freeze tonight
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From AFDLWX of
223 PM EST Thu Nov 6 2025
"The airmass moving into the region Monday night is going to be
extremely cold, possibly approaching some of the coldest temps ever
sampled for the Tuesday 12Z IAD sounding. The GFS and ECMWF both
show the potential for 500mb temps to be at or colder than -35C."-
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though the lat lon puts it in East Columbia
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ah, added to USGS 16 mins after the event, centered in Riverside, MD
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it's not showing up on the USGS list, but that sure felt like a small quake
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Small earthquake in Central MD a moment ago?
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DIPAs. The closest we're gonna get is Miller Lite.
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Could not find a wired version on the Ambient site. Does one exist? I'd like to avoid the cost of installing batteries repeatedly. Around here, people want $500 to bring a ladder and climb to the roof. Siting wind instruments closer to the ground won't give reliable readings.
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0.15" total today w of BWI
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Help! Lightning zapped my ~40 year old Heathkit ID-4001 wx station, so I'm looking a replacement. So far, I've found no unit that can substitute for the following ID-4001 features important to me:
* red color digits are visible during day, but not too bright for the bedroom at night
* digits large enough to be discerned from 10 feet away
* wind direction and speed displayed in real time (no latency)
The 4001 cost roughly $2500 in today's dollars, so I'd go that far for something with a similarly-functional display. All modern stations I see online have displays too bright for night and/or digits too small to read from a distance. I don't need lots of stats, nor wifi. Indoor/outdoor temp, baro, real-time wind, and clock will suffice. What model might be the closest to what I seek? Alternatively, does anyone repair old Heathkits?
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yesterday min 75 max 98
today min 76 max 98 -
Thanks WVclimo, but I get same expired response at www.weather.gov. I've been using a university site to access LWX AFDs but they don't mirror the forecasts.
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is there a site mirror for NWS forecasts?
the usual one has been inacessible all month:
"forecast.weather.gov uses an invalid security certificate. The certificate is not trusted because the issuer certificate has expired." -
125/69 in my attic
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power already flickering here as first sound of distant thunder arrives
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storm severity was a surprise, power out more than 6 hours, measured 0.60"
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I'd estimate 1" in past 24 hours W of BWI, my digital gauge was reading too low because it had a tiny leaf interfering with its tipping bucket, interesting that it was still registering a non-zero amount despite the leaf
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digital says 0.19" so far for the event W of BWI, which sounds too low compared to my eyeballing rainfall rates, gotta put out an old-school gauge to compare
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so far 0.15" for the event W of BWI
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12th Annual Mid-Atlantic Snowfall Contest
in Mid Atlantic
Posted
BWI: 18"
IAD: 19"
RIC: 8"
SBY: 8"
MSY: T