EWR757 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago I learned to forecast the weather in the 1980s and 1990s when I went to college for meteorology. FOUS, MOS, gridded data, AVN and the ETA/NAM are some of the things I remember. Ensembles were just starting. How has forecasting changed since then? The AFDs are certainly different now with less analysis and more synoptic descriptions. I see the models now (HRRR, NBM, ensembles, AI) are significantly more accurate than the previous generations. If a forecaster has a different opinion than the model consensus, what tools do you use to formulate your opinion? Can a NWS meteorologist go against model guidance? Is there occasionally a need to go against model guidance? I get the feeling in the past there was more personality and subjectivity in operational forecasting than there is today. Is this true? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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