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Tar Heel Snow

Ice Time? Dec. 16ish Possible CAD Event

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The HiRes NAM has much lower ice totals than these lower resolution models (e.g., NAM and RGEM). I would tend to give it greater credence and doubt those high totals will realize.

Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

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3 minutes ago, calculus1 said:

The HiRes NAM has much lower ice totals than these lower resolution models (e.g., NAM and RGEM). I would tend to give it greater credence and doubt those high totals will realize.

Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
 

Also seems like the models spitting out high ice totals, like the RGEM, do wonky things with convection. 

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5 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

I’m currently at 34/26 whilst the NAM thought I’d be at 38/37. 

You'll be warming up overnight 

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1 hour ago, olafminesaw said:

The HRRR is picking up on this is well... Could be interesting, with some pretty wild dynamics. Short lived window though, just before going into a dry slot

download.png

DGZ looks dry per that sounding.

Big push of dry air.

Pretty significant warm nose too.

Outside of the mountains. 

Pretty much a good  probably of erasing anything frozen or freezing. A sealed deal.

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23 minutes ago, griteater said:

3km NAM with a slow warming trend.  This is for 7AM tomorrow.  Last image in the loop is from tonight's 00z run.

haXYtbF.gif

I’m just hoping we can bottom out as far as possible here before WAA ensues. 30.7 with dew of 25 so it’s been slowly but surely dropping. Forecasted to get to 30 so we’re close. 

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15 miles NE of Greensboro and the radar is starting to fill in to my SW. Sitting at 33 currently. Things could get a little interesting soon. Was the precip supposed to start already? It’s actually filling in nicely.

update 12:09 light IP/ZR well that escalated quickly.

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PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
951 AM EST WED DEC 16 2020

...FREEZING RAIN REPORTS...

LOCATION AMOUNT TIME/DATE PROVIDER

...NORTH CAROLINA...

...BUNCOMBE COUNTY...
4 NE DOWNTOWN ASHEVILLE 0.02 IN 0700 AM 12/16 COCORAHS

...BURKE COUNTY...
JONAS RIDGE 0.10 IN 0635 AM 12/16 PUBLIC
1 W GLEN ALPINE 0.05 IN 0815 AM 12/16 COCORAHS

...CALDWELL COUNTY...
3 ENE COLLETTSVILLE 0.05 IN 0700 AM 12/16 COCORAHS

...CATAWBA COUNTY...
1 NNE LONGVIEW 0.10 IN 0656 AM 12/16 ASOS
6 ENE MAIDEN 0.01 IN 0700 AM 12/16 COCORAHS

...DAVIE COUNTY...
3 NNE SHEFFIELD 0.10 IN 0700 AM 12/16 COCORAHS

...HAYWOOD COUNTY...
2 NW WAYNESVILLE 0.00 IN 0400 AM 12/16 TRAINED SPOTTER

...HENDERSON COUNTY...
FLAT ROCK 0.05 IN 0600 AM 12/16 BROADCAST MEDIA
4 WSW FLAT ROCK 0.05 IN 0700 AM 12/16 COCORAHS
4 E ETOWAH 0.05 IN 0800 AM 12/16 COCORAHS
1 NW MOUNTAIN HOME 0.01 IN 0815 AM 12/16 COCORAHS

...POLK COUNTY...
SALUDA 0.30 IN 0800 AM 12/16 COCORAHS

...TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY...
5 W CEDAR MOUNTAIN 0.01 IN 0700 AM 12/16 COCORAHS
&&


.

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10 hours ago, oconeexman said:

3rd flizzard of the night here..winning!

Glad you got to see some flakes.  Didn't see anything definitive here so went to bed.  Looked out around 4 AMish and thought there was a light glaze but when I got up was raining and 34 ugh lol. I didn't expect must this time, but with a CAD there is always a little hope 

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