wolfie09 Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 Brutal! Luckly it’s only for 1 day lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Brutal! Luckly it’s onl Never thought it would get that low when I posted that the other day, but it looks like it may happen, low 20's a lock with NW flow SS! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Nuts for november. That's a cold day in january 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 It’s a beautiful look for some big time snowstorms. Yeah, for Raleigh NC, and DC up to Wildwood, NJ, lol, and certainly NOT for us inland folk. This should be kind of a 09-10 storm track wise, but we may get in on a few but I wouldnt want to bet, cause I would lose, lol. This will be, without a doubt, a Mid Atlantic Winter as far as AN snows are concerned as well as BN Cold, which we will certainly involved with for sure. I see super Confluent flows all across New England blocking any precip from making it this far North, and especially inland areas! Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 The look after next weekends "warm-up" is cold but dry for the next 8 days heading into December. What we need, and when I mean we I mean buffalo, is a strong cutter to lift into the upper great Lakes and get stalled from moving east by blocking high pressure over Greenland so we can get a few days of wsw or SW vector winds. I agree with BW that while we will be cold more than our fair share of the winter getting moisture to line up during those times might prove difficult. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Long term forecasts can bite my d... They are always wrong. November was supposed to torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 1 hour ago, rochesterdave said: Long term forecasts can bite my d... They are always wrong. November was supposed to torch. That it was...i can't wait to see the temp anomalies for this month in not sure we had more than 4 AN temp days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Stupid cold on Thanksgiving. Cold without snow is for suckers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Gfs consistant with south shore getting .25 to .50 precip teusday night to wednsday night. Could be a 3 to 6 inch event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Gotta believe conditions will be favorable for a 12 to 18 hour period before that crazy cold high squelches lake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 11 minutes ago, tim123 said: Gotta believe conditions will be favorable for a 12 to 18 hour period before that crazy cold high squelches lake Funny thing is WIVB is talking heavy les in buffalo metro for a time Wednesday morning...the only ones showing or saying that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Next chances for some accumulating snows.. As the cold front moves through on Tuesday morning, snow showers will overspread the area, with continued lake enhancement transitioning to lake effect Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night southeast of the lakes. An upper level trough axis will be over the area on Tuesday afternoon and move through by the evening. Widespread snow of around an inch is possible on Tuesday, with additional light snow amounts from the lake effect. Highs on Tuesday will occur in the late morning or early afternoon and reach the low to mid 30s. Low temperatures on Tuesday night will be in the teens over the higher terrain east of Lake Ontario, and in the low to mid 20s elsewhere. A clipper system will dive southeast across the northern Great Lakes and to the St. Lawrence Valley by mid morning on Wednesday, and with it bring another cold front that will usher in the coldest air since last winter. The clipper will bring with it some general light synoptic snow, with some light lake effect snow following the general light snow. Snow chances overall will increase from west to east toward the Eastern Lake Ontario area as the best synoptic moisture and forcing will be in place there with the clipper passing directly overhead. As the clipper exits the area, a large Arctic high centered over Ontario will move southeast toward the upper Great Lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Rgem by Wednesday am.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 18 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Rgem by Wednesday am.. Is that a LES band off erie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 28 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Funny thing is WIVB is talking heavy les in buffalo metro for a time Wednesday morning...the only ones showing or saying that Idk i just seen it too but i'm not sure.. we do have a clipper passing overhead but 850's look to be marginal when winds are from WSW.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 19, 2018 Author Share Posted November 19, 2018 Long range would look really interesting if we got some colder air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 12z Euro was So So lol Pick up a few inches over the next couple days.. Wash it all away over the weekend.. Hammer the tug behind the system Tue-thurs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 19, 2018 Author Share Posted November 19, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 50 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Long range would look really interesting if we got some colder air. Isn't supposed to get colder or do you mean very cold with retro low??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 19, 2018 Author Share Posted November 19, 2018 43 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Isn't supposed to get colder or do you mean very cold with retro low??? Not cold enough for good lake effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 19, 2018 Author Share Posted November 19, 2018 Lake effect snow will develop Tuesday night into Wednesday morning with accumulating snow expected. Winter Weather Advisories may be needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 NWS AFD at 3:04pm has now mentioned what ceijka said this am and noon calling for 3-6" for metro during the early morning hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 This is a nice surprise...good to see we may score a decent amount before November ends after all!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 WE may go to be low 0 on thurs night at this rate.. The original LR forecast for turkey day was 40/29 and now it's 17/2 lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Definitely some potential Tues night into wed afternoon East/SE of ontario.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 NWS Forecast I wouldn't be surprised to see some snow wed night as well. especially if the 3k nam is correct with it's NW multi band look... Tuesday Night Snow showers, mainly after 11pm. Low around 26. Northwest wind 5 to 8 mph becoming light and variable. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Wednesday Snow showers, mainly before 1pm. High near 31. Breezy, with a southwest wind 10 to 20 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 On 11/18/2018 at 12:18 PM, rochesterdave said: This is the feature I’ll be watching to give BUF a few hrs of SW flow. I have a great feeling for them. I’ll just put this right here. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 I just heard the Mayor of Syracuse, Ben Walsh, state that it snowed 6" in 1hr, during Thursday night's event. I call BULL****! This may also be the coldest Macy's Thanksgiving Day parade EVER according to TWC. Only 3 never got out of the 20's, Nam crushes that, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 KBGM is getting their own personal Snowstorm, lol, I love it and they may get an 1" or 2 from it! Talk about threading the needle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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