NorEastermass128 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 I was living in Philly at the time. What would that mean if verified? I know it's days away. Just curious. Lots of heavy heavy.... Rain. Snow to start then flooding rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Dec 92 analog. Love it. ? GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 I was living in Philly at the time. What would that mean if verified? I know it's days away. Just curious. I was joking though. That analog gets brought up for every storm that goes south of SNE...lol. I don't know why. Anyways, it would mean inches of rain and 60mph winds for you. But, I don't see that analog so it gets tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 I was joking though. That analog gets brought up for every storm that goes south of SNE...lol. I don't know why. Anyways, it would mean inches of rain and 60mph winds for you. But, I don't see that analog so it gets tossed. you are an odd fella Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 A few more days, then let the avid model PBP and debating whether to stay up for the Euro commence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 you are an odd fella Maybe Feb '78?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Snow to ice would be fun can we get it to hold for 20 more runs? Man, the Euro would be a hell of a snow to ice situation over a large portion of SNE. Not that it really matters at this range. Nut it is the model thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 I was joking though. That analog gets brought up for every storm that goes south of SNE...lol. I don't know why. Anyways, it would mean inches of rain and 60mph winds for you. But, I don't see that analog so it gets tossed. Yeah I was bringing it up cause of the EUR depiction of a slow moving low. As I stated in the post merely stated that it was slow moving like 92, and was was not calling in as an analog. That being said, I loved that storm as we had 2 days of flooding rain in coastal CT followed by 6 inches of snow at the tail end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Maybe Feb '78?? Probably more like Feb 82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Probably more like Feb 82 I keep waiting for my chance to bring up 1888, but for some reason no model depiction ever comes close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 They're busy doing extended Fall yardwork, waiting on winter to arrive. If that 6z GFS is still on the table in 5 days, more of us will be out. We need some posters from the Albany area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Wut did Para show? Nice hit for coastal areas Further east and colder than op Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 I'm not saying we shouldn't debate and discuss what the models are showing in the Model thread. But this is what you get when you follow a storm from 7-8 days out. There are going to be bad looking runs, and good ones. It's part of the game of watching from way out like this. JB yesterday says he expects it to go up the Apps. And now the modeling has kind of gone in that direction Doesn't mean it's right at all, just another option. Need that High to get into a real good position due to the fact there is no -NAO, which means this could easily cut to our west like it's showing now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 It will cut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 17, 2016 Author Share Posted February 17, 2016 Not to contradict my own winter enthusiasm as of late. But in all honesty ... while all this model consternation is going on cycle to cycle, the overall characteristic of the synoptic evolution since this last arctic outbreak modified out is frankly looking more and more spring like. Just the Euro's 00z is an example, and I've been seen this sort of scenario periodically over the last several days ... the model closes off what looks initially like it's a historic monster, but what happens? It poofs it's self the next day and meanders up the coast as a filling nuisance. If that doesn't remind you of a spring closed low than ur brain dead. Also, more and more warm thickness are creeping up in to the SW and along the Gulf. Along with severe outbreaks down there. Despite all that the overnight tele's are still humping a big time MJO Phase 7, and a pig correlation/constructive interference with the +PNA.. We can certainly get massive cold waves into March; the preceding paragraphs were in notwithstanding... It's why some of the very most special events in history are in spring - you can get these early season modalities toward warmth and then end up with exotic gradients to feast upon. Or, if the cold doesn't come, ...crocuses. I think with this latter tele convergence in play, I'm betting the 00z Euro is off on its extinguishing gradients idea. I also still sided heavily on an event in that time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 It will cut. Probably right thru VT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 It will cut. Save a horse ride the Euro Para, its enfuego Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Probably right thru VT I seriously think he may jump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 I seriously think he may jump Winter has gone to meh since he moved to BTV. Coincidence? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Save a horse ride the Euro Para, its enfuego We bide We read We save Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Winter has gone to meh since he moved to BTV. Coincidence? And when did you move to Weymouth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Euro Para snowmap is beautiful. 12+ on the coastal plain from the mid atlantic to Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 I seriously think he may jump Those are the indications Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Save a horse ride the Euro Para, its enfuego That is how you draw up a nice event right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Do you often complain that the sun rises every morning Nope...just saying we have seen this over and over again this year.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 That is how you draw up a nice event right there I joke but You saw the scores, cmon anything past day 4 is just a 50% shot on any model. The pregame is fun but unless we see a Euro type lock for days and days within 50 miles, this will probably be a game time decision. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 I joke but You saw the scores, cmon anything past day 4 is just a 50% shot on any model. The pregame is fun but unless we see a Euro type lock for days and days within 50 miles, this will probably be a game time decision. There is not much question there is going to be a storm system that comes up the coast in that period, But all the other caveats apply until we get inside at least day 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 That is how you draw up a nice cirrus smoking right there FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 FYP Not a good track for your area unless the precip field reaches BUF..............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 We've heard that one before! Keep getting the dealer to throw down those face cards and sooner or later one has to go blackjack. no it doesn't, not in blackjack, been there done that,lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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