CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Jesus, this place is ridiculous......not sure why everyone whacks off to wrong calls. BFD.....god knows you've missed before. Like the 12th reference I've seen to that. Ray. It was a joke. You missed the other posts mounting up to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Ray. It was a joke. You missed the other posts mounting up to that. Oh, sorry. Anyway, pretty cool ride into Salem this morning......different world here as opposed to there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Folks take ea model run very personal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Folks take ea model run very personal Just because some gets irritated doesn't mean its personal. Scott is a great friend, I just took the post out of context. NBD. This place does like to break balls on busted calls, though....no denying Funny thing was, I still made my 2-5" range from 6 days out hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Just because some gets irritated doesn't mean its personal. Scott is a great friend, I just took the post out of context. NBD. This place does like to break balls on busted calls, though....no denying Funny thing was, I still made my 2-5" range from 6 days out hahaha Well that was a general statement and not directed at any one person, But some worry where storms are going to track 8 days out instead of just monitoring the threat remains on the models, That is really all i like to see at this time frame, But it is the model thread so discussing ea run is ok as long as no one tries to lock it up........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 You get lots of them daily, lol on worrying about day 7-10Interesting to see the ec op outperform the ens beginning around d6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 You get lots of them daily, lol on worrying about day 7-10 Cool graph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Interesting to see the ec op outperform the ens beginning around d6. Yeah its surprising. Id think ensemble until 72 hours or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Nostradumbus?? Haha. No need to bump those GFS snow maps you saved from last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Well that was a general statement and not directed at any one person, But some worry where storms are going to track 8 days out instead of just monitoring the threat remains on the models, That is really all i like to see at this time frame, But it is the model thread so discussing ea run is ok as long as no one tries to lock it up........lol It will drive me nuts if this next one is a rainer, but at least baseball is now entering the fray....if this final stanza gets ugly, I have the benefit of just checking out and prepping for my draft. Just make a cameo to grade my outlook in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Well that was a general statement and not directed at any one person, But some worry where storms are going to track 8 days out instead of just monitoring the threat remains on the models, That is really all i like to see at this time frame, But it is the model thread so discussing ea run is ok as long as no one tries to lock it up........lolIt almost was better back in the day of just looking at the ETA and AVN, then seeing the NGM when a threat was within 48 hours. It seemed so much simpler back then, haha. Now we've got models and ensembles up the wazoo so there's never a missed threat...and we see and obsess over every 120-240+ hour chance that 10-15 years ago wouldn't have gotten any thought because you didn't know it was there, haha.Now we are like "I really like the set up around day 12." Back then it was like, "That set up on Thursday is interesting, ETA showing something at 72hrs, but I'd like to see it remain within 36-48 hours to get confident." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 It almost was better back in the day of just looking at the ETA and AVN, then seeing the NGM when a threat was within 48 hours. It seemed so much simpler back then, haha. Now we've got models and ensembles up the wazoo so there's never a missed threat...and we see and obsess over every 120-240+ hour chance that 10-15 years ago wouldn't have gotten any thought because you didn't know it was there, haha. Now we are like "I really like the set up around day 12." Back then it was like, "That set up on Thursday is interesting, ETA showing something at 72hrs, but I'd like to see it remain within 36-48 hours to get confident." Its true, And the models are still not much better until we get to hr 72 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 You get lots of them daily, lol on worrying about day 7-10 can I get a source on that chart? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 can I get a source on that chart?Perque?@commodityweather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Perque? @commodityweather i liked it, wanted to see if there was other cool charts.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 PF and Eduggs approve 0z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Abominable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Looks like a 2/5/01 track may be favored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Just getting worse. Not giving up on it but damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 CMC is OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Man, sucks this one trended 18 miles northwest vs the 18z run at 186 hours. Might have to pack this one in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 GEFS mean is kind of weak/strung out over the BM or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 HFD will rain and rain hard.....that's not very ......soooooo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 GEFS mean is kind of weak/strung out over the BM or so. CMC Ensemble mean is also similiar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Lots of spread, significant timing sensitivity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 The euro ensembles were also pretty far offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 The euro ensembles were also pretty far offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 8-10 Euro SNE? Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 It looked like a lot of spread. A third or so of the members seemed to have something like the GFS. Needless to say, pretty sure some sort of event is on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 06z GEFS are amped up good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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