ADKwx Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 agree...its hard to snow in our area in february Pitchers & catchers start reporting tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 That High Pressure in Canada coming down on days 7-8 is a beast, with 0 or below surface temps right over the border. I don't see a d@mn thing wrong with this setup. Your typical 6-10" NE'er. Something we have been lacking of late. I like that secondary storm that's following it up that's ots. Reminds me of the follow-up vort today in the TN Valley. The vorts in this NINO seem to travel in pairs. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Pitchers & catchers start reporting tomorrow. Off season steroid use? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Uhm, or four Which three did you forget? 3/99, 1/00, 2/06, 2/9-10/10 oops. I totally forgot about 3/99 and 1/00and didn't think that 2006 had 8". Oops. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Spring is coming. Single digits and sub zero lows on the 24th and 25th per the euro. Snowcoverous maximous frigidity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Single digits and sub zero lows on the 24th and 25th per the euro. Snowcoverous maximous frigidity reminds me of a......ahhh, never mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Single digits and sub zero lows on the 24th and 25th per the euro. Snowcoverous maximous frigidity Cold has happened this year but it's generally been overmodeled at range. Wake me up when we have below -20C 850s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADKwx Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Off season steroid use? Oh yeah! It's the only good time to be hitting the bottle. Testing starts tomorrow too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 00z Para Euro also honking the time period for an EC storm but keeps it a bit too far offshore for the cities. It's a Central NC to Williamsburg to Delmarva special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
airmarci Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 00z Para Euro also honking the time period for an EC storm but keeps it a bit too far offshore for the cities. It's a Central NC to Williamsburg to Delmarva special. 00z Para is further OTS like the 00z Op. Would expect 12z Para to fall more in line with the 12z Op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 this is the best winter since the last 2 winters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Again, I love Highzenberg, but we know how this is gonna go....WOW! Looks great! It's coming!!! OMG! Well, not this run, but next time! My thoughts exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 My thoughts exactly. You guys should know by now I get more enjoyment from looking at model runs then the actual storm. It seems like every massive snowstorm we get by the time the storm starts I am absolutely drained. Sleeping 4 hours a night for 5-6 days straight. I end up passing out before the storm ends lol.... I'm sick, but you guys love it. EPS rolling out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 12z GEFS analogs centered on Feb 29 have a solid signal.. prob one of the best of winter. For DCA, most are cold around period. 7 of 10 have accumulating snow within 5 days either side. 4 have 3"+ events, one just missed. Feb 1 2010 is on there (2010 did show up at times prior to the blizzard). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 EPS @ 168, Bob is gonna love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 12z EPS has a huge storm, but it looks similar to the OP with the cold air trying to race in on time. I think the big issue with this storm is going to be the race of cold air vs. the low. It looks like there def is going to be a storm, can we get the cold air in on time, long way until we find out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 A little mild but not bad. Diffuse on mean but looks like a good track. S GA to SC then northeast and offshore somewhere around or just south of NC/VA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Ask Matt about the heater we are on. I dont know if the bust the other day changes anything. It was like one bad hand for a small pot and we saw the bust coming by the 0z models. I still went 2-3" in my forecast that afternoon and we got nada...yesterday might offset that...I do think we're still on it. I think there has to be a March 2013 level bust to get off it...or at least a 12/10/13 level bust when we are under a warning and we get 0.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Big spread for that sys as you'd expect.. from Ohio to Bermuda. But the western ones are mainly powerhouses. There's some 970s out there. I'd probably doubt that based on how things have gone thus far. The near or below 1000mb solutions generally have a decent track. Some decent hits.. lots of nada so prob temp issues on plenty. Bob will have to look more into e50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 EPS @ 168, Bob is gonna love it The run is actually a step back from 0z. Quite a bit less big hits (I think I only see 2-3 tops) and a cluster of lows running nw of us. Mean track looks nice but the details actually look worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Big spread for that sys as you'd expect.. from Ohio to Bermuda. But the western ones are mainly powerhouses. There's some 970s out there. I'd probably doubt that based on how things have gone thus far. The near or below 1000mb solutions generally have a decent track. Some decent hits.. lots of nada so prob temp issues on plenty. Bob will have to look more into e50. Peeked myself. Seems legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Bernie Rayno already out with a video talking about next week. Actually does a good job of describing the potential setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Pitchers & catchers start reporting tomorrow. Thursday for real teams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Big spread for that sys as you'd expect.. from Ohio to Bermuda. But the western ones are mainly powerhouses. There's some 970s out there. I'd probably doubt that based on how things have gone thus far. The near or below 1000mb solutions generally have a decent track. Some decent hits.. lots of nada so prob temp issues on plenty. Bob will have to look more into e50. I think things look better after this potential storm moves through. We could still get something but the 5 days after are more appealing. You know...the storm after the storm pattern. lol Take a look at 850 panels for the threat through. Looks like a lot of members drive a low right into WV. Mean 850's are warmer than last night's run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Para euro is a weaker/warmer version of the op. Still shows a couple inches of snow but temps are suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2016 Author Share Posted February 16, 2016 Peeked myself. Seems legit. Yeah, legit. Looks like about 0.3 precip here. Seems about right. Euro ensembles aren't thrilled with our snow chances to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 SOme good runs today, but nothing as good as last nights CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Happy Hour GFS likes the idea of a big storm coming out of the Gulf. We'll see if the HP can hold on long enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 The Winchester gang is going to love the 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 The Winchester gang is going to love the 18z GFS. Yeah the track is good for DC metro but with no HP or cold air to begin with it looks like an elevation/NW favored event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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