hm8 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Rain has commenced here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 some showers popping north if PIA...might give an indication just how far north the fgen band gets as they build upstream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 so Andy Ervin from DVN just posted on FB that he is concerned for those thunderstorms in Missouri effecting sig snow potential in their area. I don't know if buy into that. models been showing convection blowing up in that area around this time and wrapping up into the cold air as the low deepens and moves more E-NE eventually. thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Temp down to 43 IMBY with light rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Was going with 2-4". Gonna go with 1/2-1" now. All you can do is laugh at this ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Temperature is down to 40.6F at YYZ. Dewpoint is 27F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 It should start as a wet snow but Id bet on ratios getting quite fluffy as the deformation kicks in tomorrow...thats something to take into account too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Temp down to 43 IMBY with light rain. How much snow left in your yard? Im guessing 3-4" of snocone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 12, 2014 Author Share Posted March 12, 2014 so Andy Ervin from DVN just posted on FB that he is concerned for those thunderstorms in Missouri effecting sig snow potential in their area. I don't know if buy into that. models been showing convection blowing up in that area around this time and wrapping up into the cold air as the low deepens and moves more E-NE eventually. thoughts? Don't buy it. Everything is as advertised thus far. What he says doesn't make sense given the precip down there is part of what moves/expands NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 How much snow left in your yard? Im guessing 3-4" of snocone? Pretty much. Lots of bare grass though, especially on the south side. It's funny because across the street there's still hardly any bare grass where the sun was blocked by the houses and buildings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Pretty much. Lots of bare grass though, especially on the south side. It's funny because across the street there's still hardly any bare grass where the sun was blocked by the houses and buildings. Same on north-south streets here as well. In calling depth 5", but there are plenty of bare spots in the sunny side...and the snow is much deeper than 5" on the shady side. Nice to see the quick temp drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFan Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 44/34F here with light rain. Was 51F here earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 12, 2014 Author Share Posted March 12, 2014 Gimme like 15 miles NW. All I need Negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 44/34F here with light rain. Was 51F here earlier. Got to love rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 radar trends say south is the way to go EDIT: ninja'd by the HRRR...approaching DAB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Don't buy it. Everything is as advertised thus far. What he says doesn't make sense given the precip down there is part of what moves/expands NE. Agree, seems like grasping at straws hoping nothing happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Blizzard warnings for the BUF crowd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 radar trends say south is the way to go EDIT: ninja'd by the HRRR...approaching DAB That model went from 1" to 0.5" qpf for me in the span of an hour...definition of POS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 I can't buy into that newest HRRR when the sfc low is here. North of the 18z runs and nearing 995mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 12, 2014 Author Share Posted March 12, 2014 radar trends say south is the way to go EDIT: ninja'd by the HRRR...approaching DAB It's no longer doing well with what's occuring from N-C. IL into S. IA...So there's that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 The 23z RAP is a joke. Initializing/showing a 1000mb low from southern MO down into eastern OK/TX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eureka22 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Starting to get some lightning along I-80 in Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Buffalo just issued Blizzard Warnings...WOW After not having one for 20 years, 2 of them in two months. 1977, 1985, 1993, two in 2014!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Those short term models are crap at this point. It is a nowcasting event and everything is still unfolding as planned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 That model went from 1" to 0.5" qpf for me in the span of an hour...definition of POS. the gradient was always tight...i'm not sure you can trash a model for 10-20 mile wobbles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Those short term models are crap at this point. It is a nowcasting event and everything is still unfolding as planned. I don't think 995mb along I-70 was planned by any models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 12, 2014 Author Share Posted March 12, 2014 Sharp cut-off already taking shape in E. IA/N. IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 RAP/HRRR both struggling as of now and do not have ongoing handled too well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 I don't think 995mb along I-70 was planned by any models. In respect to precip location, but yes, no model had 995mb there, not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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