Chicago WX Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Loaded my Bracket into the NAM. Has Purdue by 34 over Arizona April 7th. Women's basketball? I was about to post that. The 9z lowest number is 6.81". Nice cluster between that and 12.89". No doubt it will change, but I hope not. At least it is moving in the right direction. haha. I like where you guys are sitting, right now. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I'm willing to donate some money towards the decommissioning of the NAM. It's not even the fact that it's no longer showing the clown amounts. But how does it go from being the consistenty far north/strong outlier for SEVERAL run to now even south of what was the southern outlier (EURO) in one run? Just awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 The ranges at this range are amazing for here. 5-21" on the SREF plumes and about 2-14" on the IA meteogram. If the SREF minimum floor of 5" falls, I'd consider that a decent event. Obviously, I'd love the 13" middle ground lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 What a heartbreaking let down from the NAM. I'd never seen that side of powerball before. It was gonna be the "powerball special"! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Whoever put their faith and high hopes in the NAM deserves the letdown. Come on. Seriously, how many times do you have to get burned? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 lol, RAP getting weaker and weaker each run (as usual)..low really struggling and sinking south as modeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Still looking better for Detroit than it was yesterday at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Still looking better for Detroit than it was yesterday at this time. True same for YYZ. Rollercoaster ride but realistically if you toss the NAM and wild SREFs we were never looking at more than 8". Going with 7" final call IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I still feel pretty confident where I sit (Bowling Green Ohio) but it's been one heck of a roller coaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 What a heartbreaking let down from the NAM. I'd never seen that side of powerball before. It was gonna be the "powerball special"! It was looking that way after not only the NAM/SREFs holding/steady after several runs, but then the globals were gradually trending towards it. Never mind the fact this was all within 48 hours.But I should have known better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 12z GFS with the patented LAF sucker hole. That models loves that move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snohio Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I still feel pretty confident where I sit (Bowling Green Ohio) but it's been one heck of a roller coaster. Yeah, it still looks solid for now. I'm just glad we've had so much snow this winter I won't be disappointed if we don't get much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 GFS Holds. At least one model has been relatively consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 GFS Holds. At least one model has been relatively consistent. Add Euro to that short list Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Add Euro to that short list The Euro handled this terribly around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 The silence on here is golden. I think half of the members here must feel like they have been b!t(H slapped!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Most of the members are probably tired of the snow tbh. Maybe they're not going to pieces over it. I know I wouldn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
n1vek Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I want(ed) the record from 1880. Hoping for an overachiever. Torch it off after, but a lot is at stake here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Really was holding out for the big dog potential (which was legit and will be realized just to our east). It was almost there. But I can't get excited over a run-of-the-mill storm so late in the season. I slipped and practically fell on my ass over snow piles yesterday trying to avoid a huge puddle of water. Enough is enough at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Most of the members are probably tired of the snow tbh. Maybe they're not going to pieces over it. I know I wouldn't. Yep. 1'+ or bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I thought that the SREFs have done very well this year, particularly within 36 hours. They're showing very beefy amounts in SE MI currently, should they be disregarded this go around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I'd be very careful accepting the 12z runs at face value. Given the banding/potential thunder involved, I wouldn't be surprised to see some areas overperform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I thought that the SREFs have done very well this year, particularly within 36 hours. They're showing very beefy amounts in SE MI currently, should they be disregarded this go around? toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I thought that the SREFs have done very well this year, particularly within 36 hours. They're showing very beefy amounts in SE MI currently, should they be disregarded this go around? That's a good sign. I'd say take it to the bank if the 15z runs hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I thought that the SREFs have done very well this year, particularly within 36 hours. They're showing very beefy amounts in SE MI currently, should they be disregarded this go around? Yes. If you look at the SPC mesoanalysis, the trends are obviously not in our favor for the SREF solutions. The SREFs are the NAM's ensembles. So my bet is that they'll follow the NAM on the 15z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 SREF Mean: 25 inches Lowest Member: 14 inches. Lock it in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Just getting caught up here. I called for the NAM to go wagons south at 0z last night. I see it waited until 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Just getting caught up here. I called for the NAM to go wagons south at 0z last night. I see it waited until 12z. Wagons south? More like 18-wheeler caravan south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Wagons south? More like 18-wheeler caravan south. This storm should break your all time snowfall record? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 This storm should break your all time snowfall record? Going to need 9.5" which was starting to look likely but now naso much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.