Geos Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I miss the old Geos Seriously though...with the water stored in our snowpack...a bit of sublimation means next to nothing. Need to avoid the heaviest rain and warmest temps here. Hey, weather is weather. Around here it's the bottom 4" that will take a pounding rain or a string of 50s to melt out. Above that it is generally 15:1 or so. Today's snow will compact in no time. If the storm doesn't crank up and shunts the warmest air south of us, then I'll probably be back to where I was on January 10-11th... the 3-4" glacier. Edit: The old Geos will be back next winter. In a "normal" winter this is the time I start flipping to spring mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Hey, weather is weather. Around here it's the bottom 4" that will take a pounding rain or a string of 50s to melt out. Above that it is generally 15:1 or so. Today's snow will compact in no time. If the storm doesn't crank up and shunts the warmest air south of us, then I'll probably be back to where I was on January 10-11th... the 3-4" glacier. you aint losing all your snow but the glacier if that happens. prob wont lose it all but the glacier unless its 50+ degrees anyways. prob lose what you got today over the next two days if that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 you aint losing all your snow but the glacier if that happens. prob wont lose it all but the glacier unless its 50+ degrees anyways. prob lose what you got today over the next two days if that. A repeat similar to 12/26/08 would wipe a whole lot. Don't see that happening right now though. Definitely should have quite a bit more room to put snow by the end of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 A repeat similar to 12/26/08 would wipe a whole lot. Don't see that happening right now though. Definitely should have quite a bit more room to put snow by the end of the week. hopefully a nice flip south and we worry where to put more! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Hey, weather is weather. Around here it's the bottom 4" that will take a pounding rain or a string of 50s to melt out. Above that it is generally 15:1 or so. Today's snow will compact in no time. If the storm doesn't crank up and shunts the warmest air south of us, then I'll probably be back to where I was on January 10-11th... the 3-4" glacier. Edit: The old Geos will be back next winter. In a "normal" winter this is the time I start flipping to spring mode. entire snowpack here is pretty dense...much more so than the last pre-thaw pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 NAM is soaking wet around IL, MI on this run. Different look to the system compared to 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 my 18" pack will be down to piles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 my 18" pack will be down to piles At the rate you've been going this winter, I'm sure it will be refreshed soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 my 18" pack will be down to piles no way.. you'll have 6" at least left unless tues and wed reallllly over perform and thursday is total disaster. month and a half of dog turds going to be exposing themselves back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 my 18" pack will be down to pilesTis the season.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 no way.. you'll have 6" at least left unless tues and wed reallllly over perform and thursday is total disaster. month and a half of dog turds going to be exposing themselves back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Rainfall map Skilling showed just now. That would be trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 sweet add another 1.50 water to the glacier pack.. bullet proof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 john dee wil have CAT 5 snow storm up for the UP tomorrow if he already doesn't. gonna be stupid deep and drifted up there if this pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 0z GFS Going to have to invest in some waders I think. GGEM going further west. Just east of DBQ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 18, 2014 Author Share Posted February 18, 2014 Guess I'll post this here. Depending on the track it takes and how quickly it deepens, this low may be flirting with the lowest February barometric pressures once it gets toward northern Michigan/UP. Here's a map of the lowest February pressures on record. I believe many of these in IL/IN etc were set with the deep low on 2/28/1902. In case some don't know how to read this, put a decimal between the 2nd and 3rd numbers on the map and mentally add a 9 in front to come up with the pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Euro bombs the storm pretty good Thursday. Looking like a half inch or so of rain followed by dry slot and gusty winds here. Expecting zero snow. Biggest impacts will be severe well southeast, and developing snowstorm/blizzard way up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 18, 2014 Author Share Posted February 18, 2014 Euro bombs the storm pretty good Thursday. Looking like a half inch or so of rain followed by dry slot and gusty winds here. Expecting zero snow. Biggest impacts will be severe well southeast, and developing snowstorm/blizzard way up north. Looks like the Euro goes sub 970 mb over Lake Superior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Some of these model showing 1"+ liquid. Yikes I already have ~5" core. Temps here will peaking in the low 40s for only about 6-12 hours and going back below freezing. My core after this will be 6" or more!!! Not looking forward to this rain storm (it would be nice to get a t-storm but seasonally I know not to hold on to that hope here). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I'm glad I don't have anything valuable in my basement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 The 25 ft snow banks at DTW will probably be around until July once this freezes over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 sunny with gust winds and temps near 40 should probably be enough to melt off 6-8" today and tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 sunny with gust winds and temps near 40 should probably be enough to melt off 6-8" today and tomorrow. Old man winter is getting frail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Holy cow! Instant flooding. Already up to 29° with slushy streets in Racine. 10° rise in the last 90 minutes or so. 6z NAM. 12z rolling out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 The 25 ft snow banks at DTW will probably be around until July once this freezes over I saw them last week....absolutely insane. I have never seen anything like that, even in my trips to Lake Superior snowbelt. I think they reserve that whole space for all the runways snow anyway, so even in a lackluster winter theres a lot piled up there. I need to figure out how I can go there and take pics....not a good idea to fiddle around with a camera while driving on the service drive at the airport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 12z NAM pretty much the same. Low track through western IL towards GRB and MQT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Dry slot ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 melting is fast and furious already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Feels great out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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